Union Pacific (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UPAC34 Stock  BRL 307.80  4.50  1.48%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Union Pacific is 'Not Rated'. Macroaxis provides Union Pacific buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UPAC34 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Union Pacific's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Union Pacific's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
303.72
Hype Value
304.7
Market Value
307.8
Naive Value
303.52
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Union Pacific given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Union Pacific. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Union Pacific, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Union Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Union Stock refer to our How to Trade Union Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Union and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Union Pacific. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Union Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

The Union recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Union Pacific. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Union Pacific or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Union Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Union PacificBuy Union Pacific
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Union Pacific has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.042, Jensen Alpha of 0.0354, Total Risk Alpha of (0.17), Sortino Ratio of (0.04) and Treynor Ratio of 0.3082
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Union Pacific to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Union Pacific. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Union Pacific is not overpriced, please validate all Union Pacific fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, and the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Union Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Union Pacific has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 31.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 150.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Union Pacific has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Union Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Union Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Union Pacific sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Union to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Union Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Union Pacific Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Union Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Union Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Union Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Union Pacific price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Union Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Union Pacific.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-1.14
Potential Upside
1.70
Standard Deviation
1.03
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Union Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Union Pacific Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Union Pacific or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Union Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Union stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Union Pacific Volatility Alert

Union Pacific has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.93 and kurtosis of 5.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Union Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Union Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Union Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Union Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Union Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Union Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Union Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Union Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Union Pacific to competition
FundamentalsUnion PacificPeer Average
Return On Equity0.53-0.31
Return On Asset0.0953-0.14
Profit Margin0.28 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.40 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation891.85 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.45 B571.82 M
Price To Earning19.23 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.00 X9.51 X
Price To Sales28.89 X11.42 X
Revenue24.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit13.37 B27.38 B
EBITDA12.59 B3.9 B
Net Income7 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.11 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.57 X5.01 X
Total Debt31.65 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity150.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.72 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.86 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations9.36 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share14.83 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.03 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees30.72 K18.84 K
Beta1.11-0.15
Market Capitalization665.48 B19.03 B
Total Asset65.45 B29.47 B
Z Score12.68.72
Annual Yield0.03 %
Net Asset65.45 B
Last Dividend Paid5.08

Union Pacific Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Union . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Union Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Union Pacific? Buying financial instruments such as Union Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Union Pacific in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Broad Sovereign ETFs
Broad Sovereign ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Broad Sovereign ETFs theme has 14 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Broad Sovereign ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Union Pacific is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Union Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Union Pacific Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Union Pacific Stock:
Check out Union Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Union Stock refer to our How to Trade Union Stock guide.
Note that the Union Pacific information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Union Pacific's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Union Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.