Trade Desk Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TTD Stock  USD 87.42  0.21  0.24%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Trade Desk is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Trade Desk buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TTD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Trade Desk's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Trade Desk's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
84.3
Target Price
86.79
Hype Value
87.33
Market Value
87.42
Naive Value
94.35
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Trade Desk given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Trade Desk. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Trade Desk, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Trade Desk Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Trade Stock refer to our How to Trade Trade Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Trade and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Trade Desk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Trade Desk Buy or Sell Advice

The Trade recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Trade Desk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Trade Desk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Trade Desk's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Trade DeskBuy Trade Desk
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Trade Desk has a Mean Deviation of 2.03, Semi Deviation of 2.06, Standard Deviation of 3.13, Variance of 9.8, Downside Variance of 5.16 and Semi Variance of 4.23
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Trade Desk to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Trade Desk. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Trade Desk is not overpriced, please validate all Trade Desk fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Trade Desk has a price to earning of 9.98 X, we advise you to double-check Trade Desk market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Trade Desk Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Trade Desk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investors.com: Trade Desk Stock Adds To Its Relative Strength Rating Clears Technical Benchmark

Trade Desk Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Trade Desk's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Trade Desk's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Trade Desk daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Trade Desk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Trade Desk returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Trade Desk.
Mean Return
0.25
Value At Risk
-3.57
Potential Upside
4.15
Standard Deviation
3.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Trade Desk historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Trade Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Trade Desk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trade Desk backward and forwards among themselves. Trade Desk's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Trade Desk's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
4.4 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
3.5 M
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
3.3 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
3.2 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2023-12-31
2.9 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
2.8 M
Ing Investment Management Llc2023-12-31
2.7 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2023-09-30
2.6 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
41.7 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2023-12-31
41 M
Note, although Trade Desk's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Trade Desk Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(123.2M)(63.2M)(20.4M)(304.4M)(189.2M)(179.7M)
Change In Cash(76.4M)306.5M316.8M276.4M(135.4M)(128.6M)
Net Borrowings(1.0M)(27.3M)(6K)(1.9M)(1.7M)(1.8M)
Free Cash Flow19.6M325.0M318.5M456.8M543.3M570.5M
Depreciation21.7M28.6M42.2M54.4M80.4M84.4M
Other Non Cash Items22.7M38.6M47.6M47.9M31.5M23.8M
Capital Expenditures40.6M80.1M60.0M91.9M55.0M42.2M
Net Income108.3M242.3M137.8M53.4M178.9M98.6M
End Period Cash Flow130.9M437.4M754.2M1.0B895.1M939.9M
Change To Netincome71.0M85.9M368.2M491.0M564.6M592.8M
Change Receivables(331.4M)(418.1M)(444.3M)(291.7M)(262.6M)(275.7M)

Trade Desk Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Trade Desk or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Trade Desk's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Trade stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Trade Desk Volatility Alert

Trade Desk currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Trade Desk's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Trade Desk's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Trade Desk Implied Volatility

Trade Desk's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Trade Desk stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Trade Desk's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Trade Desk stock will not fluctuate a lot when Trade Desk's options are near their expiration.

Trade Desk Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Trade Desk's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Trade Desk's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Trade Desk and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Trade Desk or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Trade Desk's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trade Desk by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Trade Desk to competition
FundamentalsTrade DeskPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0836-0.31
Return On Asset0.027-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.24 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation41.42 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding445.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.93 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions78.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted10.16 M4.71 M
Price To Earning9.98 X28.72 X
Price To Book19.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales21.87 X11.42 X
Revenue1.95 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.3 B27.38 B
EBITDA281.89 M3.9 B
Net Income178.94 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.21 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt235.89 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.15 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.92 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.43 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations598.32 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.36 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.44 X4.89 X
Target Price98.15
Number Of Employees3.12 K18.84 K
Beta1.5-0.15
Market Capitalization42.54 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.89 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings196.95 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.8 B1.48 B
Note: Exercise or conversion by Vivian Yang of 875 shares of Trade Desk subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Trade Desk Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Trade . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Trade Desk Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Trade Desk? Buying financial instruments such as Trade Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total284.6M261.0M235.9M168.2M
Total Assets3.6B4.4B4.9B5.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Trade Desk in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Emerging Markets Funds Thematic Idea Now

Emerging Markets Funds
Emerging Markets Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in markets of developing countries. The Emerging Markets Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Emerging Markets Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Trade Desk is a strong investment it is important to analyze Trade Desk's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Trade Desk's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Trade Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trade Desk Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Trade Stock refer to our How to Trade Trade Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Trade Desk's price analysis, check to measure Trade Desk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trade Desk is operating at the current time. Most of Trade Desk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trade Desk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trade Desk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trade Desk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Trade Desk's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trade Desk. If investors know Trade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trade Desk listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.366
Earnings Share
0.36
Revenue Per Share
3.978
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.234
Return On Assets
0.027
The market value of Trade Desk is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trade Desk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trade Desk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trade Desk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trade Desk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trade Desk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trade Desk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trade Desk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.