Trinseo Sa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TSE Stock  USD 3.78  0.34  9.88%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Trinseo SA is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Trinseo SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TSE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Trinseo SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Trinseo SA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.75
Target Price
11.83
Hype Value
3.8
Market Value
3.78
Naive Value
2.3
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Trinseo SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Trinseo SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Trinseo SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Trinseo SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Trinseo Stock refer to our How to Trade Trinseo Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Trinseo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Trinseo SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Trinseo SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Trinseo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Trinseo SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Trinseo SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Trinseo SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Trinseo SABuy Trinseo SA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Trinseo SA has a Mean Deviation of 4.16, Standard Deviation of 5.42 and Variance of 29.43
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Trinseo SA. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Trinseo SA is not overpriced, please validate all Trinseo SA fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Trinseo SA has a price to book of 1.22 X, we advise you to double-check Trinseo SA market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Trinseo SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Trinseo SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trinseo SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.68 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (701.3 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 272.3 M.
Trinseo SA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trinseo SA Time For A Financial Health Check - Yahoo Movies UK

Trinseo SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Trinseo SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Trinseo SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Trinseo SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Trinseo SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Trinseo SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Trinseo SA.
Mean Return
-1.04
Value At Risk
-8.08
Potential Upside
7.23
Standard Deviation
5.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Trinseo SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Trinseo Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Trinseo SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trinseo SA backward and forwards among themselves. Trinseo SA's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Trinseo SA's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
624.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
553.6 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
457.4 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
394.9 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2023-09-30
374.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
371 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
356.1 K
Squarepoint Ops Llc2023-12-31
353.1 K
Walleye Trading Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
350.7 K
M&g Investment Management Ltd2023-12-31
7.6 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
2.6 M
Note, although Trinseo SA's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Trinseo SA Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory70.7M69.8M(214.1M)31.8M150.1M157.6M
Change In Cash3.9M131.3M(15.7M)(361.3M)47.4M49.8M
Free Cash Flow212.4M173.1M335M(104.7M)79M128.8M
Depreciation136M134.3M167.5M236.9M221.2M138.2M
Other Non Cash Items(10.9M)(12.4M)(144.9M)336.7M352.2M369.8M
Capital Expenditures110.1M82.3M117.7M148.2M69.7M108.5M
Net Income92M7.9M440M(430.9M)(701.3M)(666.2M)
End Period Cash Flow456.2M588.7M573M211.7M259.1M391.3M
Dividends Paid65.7M61.8M21.9M47.5M(17.9M)(17.0M)
Investments(109.3M)46.1M(1.5B)(164M)(31.7M)(33.3M)
Change Receivables21.2M66.6M57.4M(214.6M)(193.1M)(183.5M)
Net Borrowings(17.6M)(6.9M)1.2B(34.1M)(39.2M)(37.3M)
Change To Netincome(37.3M)7.4M452.7M255.2M293.5M308.2M

Trinseo SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Trinseo SA or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Trinseo SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Trinseo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.72
β
Beta against NYSE Composite5.40
σ
Overall volatility
5.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Trinseo SA Volatility Alert

Trinseo SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.43 and kurtosis of 1.68. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Trinseo SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Trinseo SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Trinseo SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Trinseo SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Trinseo SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Trinseo SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Trinseo SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Trinseo SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trinseo SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Trinseo SA to competition
FundamentalsTrinseo SAPeer Average
Return On Equity-9.21-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0209-0.14
Profit Margin(0.19) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.06) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.23 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding35.26 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.34 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.91 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted972.92 K4.71 M
Price To Earning122.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.22 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.04 X11.42 X
Revenue3.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit272.3 M27.38 B
EBITDA84.6 M3.9 B
Net Income(701.3 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents211.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.57 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.33 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.22 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(7.61) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations148.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.52 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(19.88) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.54 X4.89 X
Target Price6.0
Number Of Employees2.79 K18.84 K
Beta1.54-0.15
Market Capitalization136.12 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.03 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(443 M)9.33 B
Working Capital521.5 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2142 shares by Yang Arthas Bing of Trinseo SA at 24.08 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Trinseo SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Trinseo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Trinseo SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Trinseo SA? Buying financial instruments such as Trinseo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.4B2.4B2.3B1.6B
Total Assets4.7B3.8B3.0B3.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Trinseo SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Aggressive Defence Thematic Idea Now

Aggressive Defence
Aggressive Defence Theme
Macroaxis small cap, aggressive-outlook picks designed for investors that are willing to accept higher levels of risk to hedge exposure to above-average market volatility. The Aggressive Defence theme has 50 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Defence Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Trinseo SA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Trinseo SA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Trinseo SA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Trinseo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trinseo SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Trinseo Stock refer to our How to Trade Trinseo Stock guide.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Trinseo Stock analysis

When running Trinseo SA's price analysis, check to measure Trinseo SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trinseo SA is operating at the current time. Most of Trinseo SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trinseo SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trinseo SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trinseo SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Is Trinseo SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trinseo SA. If investors know Trinseo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trinseo SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Dividend Share
0.17
Earnings Share
(19.88)
Revenue Per Share
104.119
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
The market value of Trinseo SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trinseo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trinseo SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trinseo SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trinseo SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trinseo SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trinseo SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trinseo SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trinseo SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.