Smurfit Kappa Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SMFTF Stock  USD 44.85  0.30  0.67%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Smurfit Kappa Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Smurfit Kappa buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SMFTF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Smurfit Kappa's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Smurfit Kappa's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
35.5
Hype Value
44.55
Market Value
44.85
Naive Value
44.9
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Smurfit Kappa Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Smurfit Kappa. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Smurfit Kappa Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Smurfit Kappa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Smurfit and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Smurfit Kappa Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Smurfit Kappa Buy or Sell Advice

The Smurfit recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Smurfit Kappa Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Smurfit Kappa Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Smurfit Kappa's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Smurfit KappaBuy Smurfit Kappa
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Smurfit Kappa Group has a Mean Deviation of 1.41, Semi Deviation of 1.86, Standard Deviation of 2.84, Variance of 8.09, Downside Variance of 15.51 and Semi Variance of 3.44
Smurfit Kappa Group recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade recommendation provided by analysts inspecting the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Smurfit Kappa Group is not overpriced, please validate all Smurfit Kappa fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, current asset, and the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Smurfit Kappa Group has a price to book of 1.76 X, we advise you to double-check Smurfit Kappa Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Smurfit Kappa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Smurfit Kappa Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Smurfit Kappa's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Smurfit Kappa's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Smurfit Kappa daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Smurfit Kappa Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Smurfit Kappa returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Smurfit Kappa.
Mean Return
0.22
Value At Risk
-3.28
Potential Upside
5.24
Standard Deviation
2.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Smurfit Kappa historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Smurfit Kappa Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Smurfit Kappa or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Smurfit Kappa's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Smurfit pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Smurfit Kappa Volatility Alert

Smurfit Kappa Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Smurfit Kappa's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Smurfit Kappa's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Smurfit Kappa Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Smurfit Kappa's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Smurfit Kappa's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Smurfit Kappa and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Smurfit Kappa or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Smurfit Kappa's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smurfit Kappa by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Smurfit Kappa to competition
FundamentalsSmurfit KappaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0855-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.99 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding259.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.66 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.73 %39.21 %
Price To Earning13.28 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.76 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.82 X11.42 X
Revenue12.81 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.06 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.08 B3.9 B
Net Income944 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents482 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.87 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.8 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.75 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.45 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.88 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees48 K18.84 K
Beta0.92-0.15
Market Capitalization11.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset12.48 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings756 M9.33 B
Working Capital902 M1.48 B
Current Asset2.78 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.88 B7.9 B
Z Score2.88.72
Annual Yield0.03 %

Smurfit Kappa Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smurfit . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Smurfit Kappa Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Smurfit Kappa Group? Buying financial instruments such as Smurfit Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Smurfit Kappa in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Medical Equipment Thematic Idea Now

Medical Equipment
Medical Equipment Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Medical Equipment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Medical Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Smurfit Kappa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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When running Smurfit Kappa's price analysis, check to measure Smurfit Kappa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smurfit Kappa is operating at the current time. Most of Smurfit Kappa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smurfit Kappa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smurfit Kappa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smurfit Kappa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Smurfit Kappa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smurfit Kappa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smurfit Kappa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.