Smurfit Kappa Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SMFKY Stock | USD 43.21 0.92 2.08% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Smurfit Kappa Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Smurfit Kappa buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SMFKY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Smurfit Kappa's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Smurfit Kappa's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 49.72 | Hype Value 44.13 | Market Value 43.21 | Naive Value 42.89 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Smurfit Kappa Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Smurfit Kappa. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Smurfit Kappa Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Smurfit |
Execute Smurfit Kappa Buy or Sell Advice
The Smurfit recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Smurfit Kappa Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Smurfit Kappa Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Smurfit Kappa's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Smurfit Kappa Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Smurfit Kappa's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Smurfit Kappa's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Smurfit Kappa daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Smurfit Kappa Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Smurfit Kappa returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Smurfit Kappa.
| Mean Return | 0.31 | Value At Risk | -2.01 | Potential Upside | 2.46 | Standard Deviation | 1.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Smurfit Kappa historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Smurfit Kappa Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Smurfit Kappa or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Smurfit Kappa's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Smurfit pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Smurfit Kappa Volatility Alert
Smurfit Kappa Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.84 and kurtosis of 2.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Smurfit Kappa's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Smurfit Kappa's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Smurfit Kappa Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Smurfit Kappa's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Smurfit Kappa's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Smurfit Kappa and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Smurfit Kappa or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Smurfit Kappa's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smurfit Kappa by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Smurfit Kappa to competition |
| Fundamentals | Smurfit Kappa | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0855 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 259.03 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.35 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 13.65 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.81 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 12.81 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.06 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.08 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 944 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 482 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.87 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.8 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.75 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.45 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.86 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 45.86 | |
| Number Of Employees | 48 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.92 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 10.26 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.48 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 2.2 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.00 % | |
| Net Asset | 12.48 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.39 |
Smurfit Kappa Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smurfit . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 227.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.68) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.92) |
About Smurfit Kappa Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Smurfit Kappa Group? Buying financial instruments such as Smurfit Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Smurfit Kappa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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When running Smurfit Kappa's price analysis, check to measure Smurfit Kappa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smurfit Kappa is operating at the current time. Most of Smurfit Kappa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smurfit Kappa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smurfit Kappa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smurfit Kappa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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