Sm Energy Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SM Stock | USD 49.81 0.96 1.97% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding SM Energy Co is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides SM Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of SM Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting SM Energy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 52.62 | Target Price 49.75 | Hype Value 50.12 | Market Value 49.81 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell SM Energy Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards SM Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for SM Energy Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
SM Energy |
Execute SM Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The SM Energy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SM Energy Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SM Energy Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SM Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Very Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
SM Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| SM Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reports 1.58 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.64, which is normal for its line of buisiness. SM Energy has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist SM Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SM Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SM Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SM Energy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SM Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| SM Energy has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of SM Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Why the Market Dipped But SM Energy Gained Today |
SM Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of SM Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SM Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SM Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SM Energy Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SM Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SM Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.49 | Value At Risk | -2.12 | Potential Upside | 3.10 | Standard Deviation | 1.62 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SM Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
SM Energy Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as SM Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SM Energy Co backward and forwards among themselves. SM Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase SM Energy's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | River Road Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Aventail Capital Group, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Westwood Holdings Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 20.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 14.3 M |
SM Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (236.0M) | (78.0M) | 332.7M | 112.3M | 171.2M | 179.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (202.8M) | 235.3M | 481.6M | 806.5M | 475.1M | 498.8M | |
| Depreciation | 954.3M | 1.4B | 1.7B | 603.8K | 690.5M | 420.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 56.9M | 362.3M | (735.4M) | 358.1M | (37.9M) | (36.0M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 11.3M | 2.3M | 2.4M | 19.6M | 71.6M | 75.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.0B | 555.7M | 678.2M | 879.9M | 1.1B | 745.2M | |
| Net Income | (187.0M) | (764.6M) | 36.2M | 1.1B | 817.9M | 858.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 115.2M | 390.0M | 963.4M | 743.2M | 854.6M | 897.4M | |
| Change To Inventory | (23.8M) | (50.3M) | 23.4M | (218.2M) | (196.4M) | (186.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (39.6M) | 29.1M | (101.0M) | 38.6M | 44.3M | 46.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 122.5M | (232.6M) | 299.8M | (584.9M) | (526.5M) | (500.1M) | |
| Investments | (1.0B) | (555.6M) | (667.2M) | (880.3M) | (1.2B) | (1.2B) |
SM Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SM Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SM Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SM Energy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
SM Energy Volatility Alert
SM Energy Co has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.0 and kurtosis of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure SM Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact SM Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.SM Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing SM Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SM Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SM Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SM Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SM Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SM Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare SM Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | SM Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.36 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.53 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.65 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 115.03 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.47 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.96 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 10.47 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.17 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.61 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.57 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.36 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.78 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.63 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 817.88 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 445 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.58 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.64 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 31.24 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.57 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.18 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.86 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.71 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 55.08 | |
| Number Of Employees | 544 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 4.25 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.62 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.38 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.05 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 282.63 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Brookman Barton R Jr of SM Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
SM Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SM Energy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About SM Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell SM Energy Co? Buying financial instruments such as SM Energy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.1B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 989.4M | Total Assets | 5.2B | 5.7B | 6.4B | 6.7B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having SM Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Financials Thematic Idea Now
Financials
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out SM Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for SM Energy Stock analysis
When running SM Energy's price analysis, check to measure SM Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SM Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SM Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SM Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SM Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SM Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SM Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SM Energy. If investors know SM Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SM Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.013 | Dividend Share 0.63 | Earnings Share 6.86 | Revenue Per Share 19.117 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of SM Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SM Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SM Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SM Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SM Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SM Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SM Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.