Sirius Xm Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SIRI Stock | USD 3.10 0.05 1.59% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sirius XM Holding is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Sirius XM buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SIRI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Sirius XM's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Sirius XM's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.68 | Target Price 4.99 | Hype Value 3.1 | Market Value 3.1 | Naive Value 2.91 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Sirius XM Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Sirius XM. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Sirius XM Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Sirius |
Execute Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice
The Sirius recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sirius XM Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sirius XM Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sirius XM's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Sirius XM Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Sirius XM Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 9.53 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 12.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sirius XM Holding has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Sirius XM until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sirius XM's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sirius XM Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sirius to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sirius XM's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of Sirius XM outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 23rd of February 2024 Sirius XM paid $ 0.0266 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from smh.com.au: Terrain stares into Nova-style eye at Lort River |
Sirius XM Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Sirius XM's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sirius XM's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sirius XM daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sirius XM Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sirius XM returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sirius XM.
| Mean Return | -0.76 | Value At Risk | -3.66 | Potential Upside | 1.91 | Standard Deviation | 1.66 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sirius XM historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Sirius Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Sirius XM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sirius XM Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Sirius XM's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Sirius XM's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Cowen And Company, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 7.2 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.4 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 6.3 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 5.7 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 5.5 M | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 5.4 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5 M | Barclays Plc | 2023-12-31 | 4.2 M | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2023-12-31 | 3.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 54.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 43.8 M |
Sirius XM Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 55M | (37M) | 116M | (134M) | 159M | 167.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 147M | 1.1B | 179M | 158M | 107M | 101.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 363M | 350M | 388M | 426M | 650M | 682.5M | |
| Net Income | 914M | 131M | 1.3B | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.3B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 120M | 83M | 199M | 65M | 224M | 265.9M | |
| Depreciation | 468M | 562M | 583M | 585M | 599M | 629.0M | |
| Change To Inventory | 11M | (2M) | 108M | (110M) | (126.5M) | (120.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 226M | 237M | 268M | 1.3B | (383M) | (363.9M) | |
| Investments | 66M | 3M | (200M) | 1M | (687M) | (652.7M) | |
| Change Receivables | (137M) | (36M) | (108M) | 10M | 9M | 9.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | 565M | 592M | 224M | 573M | 659.0M | 473.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 642M | 1.6B | 484M | 481M | 553.2M | 334.6M |
Sirius XM Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sirius XM or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sirius XM's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sirius stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.77 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.5 |
Sirius XM Volatility Alert
Sirius XM Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.58 and kurtosis of 0.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sirius XM's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sirius XM's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Sirius XM Implied Volatility
Sirius XM's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sirius XM Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sirius XM's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sirius XM stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sirius XM's options are near their expiration.
Sirius XM Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Sirius XM's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sirius XM's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sirius XM and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sirius XM or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sirius XM's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sirius XM by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Sirius XM to competition |
| Fundamentals | Sirius XM | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.22 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 21.07 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.85 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 84.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 11.92 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 138.68 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.38 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.38 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.95 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.52 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.62 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.26 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 39 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 9.53 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 12.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.38 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.67) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.85 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.05 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.32 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.12 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 4.56 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.68 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.05 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.77 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 10.37 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.57 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.96 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 642.65 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 2.67 B | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by David Zaslav of 61634 shares of Sirius XM subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Sirius XM Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sirius . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Sirius XM Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Sirius Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 178M | 165M | 184.1M | Total Assets | 10.3B | 10.0B | 5.7B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Sirius XM in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ESG Investing
Sustainable investments that promote the conservation of the natural world, social resposibility, freindly employees policies and strong governance. The ESG Investing theme has 51 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ESG Investing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Sirius XM Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Sirius Stock analysis
When running Sirius XM's price analysis, check to measure Sirius XM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sirius XM is operating at the current time. Most of Sirius XM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sirius XM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sirius XM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sirius XM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sirius XM's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sirius XM. If investors know Sirius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sirius XM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 0.099 | Earnings Share 0.32 | Revenue Per Share 2.321 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 |
The market value of Sirius XM Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sirius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sirius XM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sirius XM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sirius XM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sirius XM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius XM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sirius XM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius XM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.