Refinaria (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| RPMG3 Stock | BRL 2.00 0.03 1.48% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Refinaria de Petrleos is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Refinaria buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding RPMG3 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Refinaria's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Refinaria's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.72 | Hype Value 2 | Market Value 2 | Naive Value 2.03 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Refinaria de Petrleos given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Refinaria. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Refinaria de Petrleos, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Refinaria |
Execute Refinaria Buy or Sell Advice
The Refinaria recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Refinaria de Petrleos. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Refinaria de Petrleos or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Refinaria's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Refinaria Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Refinaria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Refinaria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Refinaria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Refinaria de Petrleos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Refinaria to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Refinaria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Refinaria de Petrleos reported the revenue of 2.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (361.76 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (61.38 M). | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Refinaria Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Refinaria's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Refinaria's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Refinaria daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Refinaria de Petrleos price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Refinaria returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Refinaria.
| Mean Return | 0 | Value At Risk | -2.93 | Potential Upside | 2.90 | Standard Deviation | 1.82 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Refinaria historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Refinaria Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Refinaria or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Refinaria's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Refinaria stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Refinaria Volatility Alert
Refinaria de Petrleos has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of 2.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Refinaria's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Refinaria's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Refinaria Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Refinaria's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Refinaria's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Refinaria and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Refinaria or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Refinaria's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Refinaria by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Refinaria to competition |
| Fundamentals | Refinaria | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | -0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.19) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.19) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 104.9 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 67.68 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 65.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 16.05 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | (1.26) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.02 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.21 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (61.38 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (285.18 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (361.76 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 47 K | 2.7 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.44 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (62.54) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 40.71 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (7.30) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 6 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.55 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 106.94 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.2 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.08 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (958 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 242 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.2 B | 7.9 B |
| Net Asset | 4.2 B |
Refinaria Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Refinaria . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Refinaria Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Refinaria de Petrleos? Buying financial instruments such as Refinaria Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Refinaria in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Large Growth Funds Thematic Idea Now
Large Growth Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of large-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate. The Large Growth Funds theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Refinaria Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Refinaria de Petrleos information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Refinaria's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Complementary Tools for Refinaria Stock analysis
When running Refinaria's price analysis, check to measure Refinaria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Refinaria is operating at the current time. Most of Refinaria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Refinaria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Refinaria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Refinaria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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