Alfa Holdings (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RPAD3 Stock  BRL 8.40  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alfa Holdings SA is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alfa Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding RPAD3 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alfa Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Alfa Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
8.2
Hype Value
8.4
Market Value
8.4
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alfa Holdings SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alfa Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alfa Holdings SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alfa Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alfa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alfa Holdings SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Alfa Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Alfa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alfa Holdings SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alfa Holdings SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alfa Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alfa HoldingsBuy Alfa Holdings
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alfa Holdings SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0428, Jensen Alpha of 0.0937, Total Risk Alpha of (0.28) and Treynor Ratio of 2.48
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alfa Holdings SA. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alfa Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Alfa Holdings SA fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to book, revenue, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and price to sales .

Alfa Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alfa Holdings SA has accumulated about 457 K in cash with (1.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.
Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Alfa Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alfa Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alfa Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alfa Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alfa Holdings SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alfa Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alfa Holdings.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-0.24
Potential Upside
1.22
Standard Deviation
1.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alfa Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alfa Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alfa Holdings or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alfa Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alfa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Alfa Holdings Volatility Alert

Alfa Holdings SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.72 and kurtosis of 30.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alfa Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alfa Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alfa Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alfa Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alfa Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alfa Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alfa Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alfa Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alfa Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alfa Holdings to competition
FundamentalsAlfa HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0596-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0025-0.14
Current Valuation538.61 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding46.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders91.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.20 %39.21 %
Price To Earning19.88 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.58 X9.51 X
Price To Sales460.10 X11.42 X
Revenue1.36 M9.43 B
Gross Profit120 K27.38 B
EBITDA19.36 M3.9 B
Net Income19.36 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents457 K2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.17 X5.01 X
Current Ratio5.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(1.95 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.72 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees518.84 K
Beta0.0733-0.15
Market Capitalization569.18 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.05 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings506 M9.33 B
Working Capital1000 K1.48 B
Current Asset5 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities4 M7.9 B
Annual Yield0.0002 %
Net Asset1.05 B
Last Dividend Paid0.001

Alfa Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alfa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alfa Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alfa Holdings SA? Buying financial instruments such as Alfa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alfa Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Large Cap ETFs theme has 550 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Cap ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Alfa Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Alfa Holdings SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alfa Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Alfa Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alfa Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alfa Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.