Marcopolo (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

POMO3 Stock  BRL 5.86  0.09  1.56%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Marcopolo SA is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Marcopolo buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding POMO3 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Marcopolo's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Marcopolo's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.61
Hype Value
5.86
Market Value
5.86
Naive Value
5.93
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Marcopolo SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Marcopolo. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Marcopolo SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Marcopolo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Marcopolo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Marcopolo SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Marcopolo Buy or Sell Advice

The Marcopolo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Marcopolo SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Marcopolo SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Marcopolo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MarcopoloBuy Marcopolo
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Marcopolo SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1058, Jensen Alpha of 0.2985, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of 0.1079 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6637
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Marcopolo SA. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Marcopolo SA is not overpriced, please verify all Marcopolo SA fundamentals, including its revenue, ebitda, and the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

Marcopolo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Marcopolo SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Marcopolo SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Marcopolo Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Marcopolo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Marcopolo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Marcopolo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Marcopolo SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Marcopolo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Marcopolo.
Mean Return
0.38
Value At Risk
-3
Potential Upside
3.60
Standard Deviation
2.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Marcopolo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Marcopolo Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marcopolo or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marcopolo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marcopolo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.30
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.55
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Marcopolo Volatility Alert

Marcopolo SA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marcopolo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marcopolo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Marcopolo Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Marcopolo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Marcopolo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Marcopolo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Marcopolo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Marcopolo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marcopolo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Marcopolo to competition
FundamentalsMarcopoloPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0793-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0077-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding598.68 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders64.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions22.70 %39.21 %
Price To Earning18.15 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.54 X11.42 X
Revenue3.5 B9.43 B
Gross Profit356.22 M27.38 B
EBITDA581.84 M3.9 B
Net Income366.62 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.14 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.47 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity89.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.24 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations188.25 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.27 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees9.68 K18.84 K
Beta0.69-0.15
Market Capitalization2.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.65 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.07 %
Five Year Return2.55 %
Net Asset6.65 B

Marcopolo Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Marcopolo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Marcopolo Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Marcopolo SA? Buying financial instruments such as Marcopolo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Marcopolo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Aggressive Funds Thematic Idea Now

Aggressive Funds
Aggressive Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Marcopolo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Marcopolo SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Marcopolo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Marcopolo's price analysis, check to measure Marcopolo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marcopolo is operating at the current time. Most of Marcopolo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marcopolo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marcopolo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marcopolo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Marcopolo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marcopolo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marcopolo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.