Packaging Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PKG Stock  USD 188.94  2.07  1.11%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Packaging Corp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Packaging Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PKG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Packaging Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Packaging Corp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
183.19
Target Price
153.83
Hype Value
188.53
Market Value
188.94
Naive Value
187.5
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Packaging Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Packaging Corp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Packaging Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Packaging Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Packaging Stock please use our How to Invest in Packaging Corp guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Packaging and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Packaging Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Packaging Corp Buy or Sell Advice

The Packaging recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Packaging Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Packaging Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Packaging Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Packaging CorpBuy Packaging Corp
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Packaging Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1286, Jensen Alpha of 0.1554, Total Risk Alpha of (0.01), Sortino Ratio of 0.1131 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3912
Macroaxis provides advice on Packaging Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Packaging Corp. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Packaging Corp is not overpriced, please check all Packaging Corp fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Packaging Corp has a price to book of 4.19 X, we recommend you to check out Packaging Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Packaging Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Packaging Co. of America Hits New 12-Month High at 189.32 - MarketBeat

Packaging Corp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Packaging Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Packaging Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Packaging Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Packaging Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Packaging Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Packaging Corp.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-1.31
Potential Upside
1.40
Standard Deviation
1.07
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Packaging Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Packaging Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Packaging Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Packaging Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Packaging Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Packaging Corp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.6 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
1.4 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.3 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Maj Invest Holding A/s2023-12-31
1.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
1.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
11.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
8.9 M
Note, although Packaging Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Packaging Corp Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory1.4M6.3M(105.5M)(75.2M)(35.8M)(34.0M)
Change In Cash318M295.1M(355.9M)(298.7M)328M344.4M
Free Cash Flow807.9M611.6M489M670.8M842.8M884.9M
Depreciation382.8M408.5M429.2M456.8M517.7M266.0M
Other Non Cash Items28.2M20.8M16.3M(28.1M)1.1B1.2B
Capital Expenditures399.5M421.2M605.1M824.2M472.3M295.2M
Net Income696.4M461M841.1M1.0B759M797.0M
End Period Cash Flow679.5M974.6M618.7M320M648M680.4M
Dividends Paid298.7M299.6M379.8M420.3M(448.9M)(426.5M)
Change Receivables56.4M13.2M(227.2M)39.3M35.4M37.1M
Net Borrowings(35.9M)(1.5M)(69.9M)(1.7M)(1.5M)(1.5M)
Change To Netincome90.8M81.5M118.5M91.4M105.1M110.4M
Investments(146.1M)(3.1M)(500K)(7.4M)(582.9M)(612.0M)

Packaging Corp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Packaging Corp or Containers & Packaging sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Packaging Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Packaging stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Packaging Corp Volatility Alert

Packaging Corp has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.39, Maximum Drawdown of 6.06 and kurtosis of 2.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Packaging Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Packaging Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Packaging Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Packaging Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Packaging Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Packaging Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Packaging Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Packaging Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Packaging Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Packaging Corp to competition
FundamentalsPackaging CorpPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0842-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.78 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding89.62 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.79 M4.71 M
Price To Earning26.14 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.19 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.17 X11.42 X
Revenue7.8 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.1 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.63 B3.9 B
Net Income759 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents320 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.17 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.07 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share44.94 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.32 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.49 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share8.48 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.14 X4.89 X
Target Price177.14
Number Of Employees14.9 K18.84 K
Beta0.79-0.15
Market Capitalization16.93 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.88 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.45 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.99 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by Robert Mundy of Packaging Corp at 182.51 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Packaging Corp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Packaging . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Packaging Corp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Packaging Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Packaging Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.7B2.8B3.2B1.7B
Total Assets7.8B8.0B8.9B4.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Packaging Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Buywrite ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Buywrite ETFs
Buywrite ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Buywrite ETFs theme has 23 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Buywrite ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Packaging Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Packaging Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Packaging Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Packaging Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Packaging Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Packaging Stock please use our How to Invest in Packaging Corp guide.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Packaging Stock analysis

When running Packaging Corp's price analysis, check to measure Packaging Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Packaging Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Packaging Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Packaging Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Packaging Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Packaging Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Is Packaging Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Packaging Corp. If investors know Packaging will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Packaging Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Dividend Share
5
Earnings Share
8.48
Revenue Per Share
87.569
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Packaging Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Packaging that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Packaging Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Packaging Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Packaging Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Packaging Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Packaging Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Packaging Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Packaging Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.