Polaris Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
PII Stock | USD 85.21 1.29 1.49% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Polaris Industries is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Polaris Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PII positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Polaris Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Polaris Industries' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 105.19 | Target Price 121.46 | Hype Value 85.11 | Market Value 85.21 | Naive Value 81.2 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Polaris Industries given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Polaris Industries. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Polaris Industries, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Polaris |
Execute Polaris Industries Buy or Sell Advice
The Polaris recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Polaris Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Polaris Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Polaris Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Polaris Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Polaris Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 15th of March 2024 Polaris Industries paid $ 0.66 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Polaris Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Polaris Industries Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Polaris Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Polaris Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Polaris Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Polaris Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Polaris Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Polaris Industries.
Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -2.74 | Potential Upside | 2.20 | Standard Deviation | 1.64 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Polaris Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Polaris Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Polaris Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Polaris Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Polaris Industries' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Polaris Industries' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 641.6 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 618.2 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2023-12-31 | 614 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 471.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 469.6 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 444.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 405.5 K | Gw&k Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 393.7 K | River Road Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 384.7 K | Capital World Investors | 2023-12-31 | 6.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.8 M |
Polaris Industries Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | (149.9M) | (44.9M) | (503.1M) | (391.1M) | 115.1M | 120.9M | |
Change In Cash | 3.2M | 461.2M | (128.4M) | (189.4M) | 43.3M | 45.5M | |
Free Cash Flow | 403.7M | 804.7M | (4.6M) | 202M | 550.2M | 577.7M | |
Depreciation | 234.5M | 260.7M | 237.1M | 232.8M | 258.9M | 271.8M | |
Other Non Cash Items | (27.3M) | 362.6M | 34.2M | (41.5M) | (5.4M) | (5.1M) | |
Dividends Paid | 149.1M | 152.5M | 153.4M | 150M | 147.3M | 83.8M | |
Capital Expenditures | 251.4M | 213.9M | 298.3M | 306.6M | 412.6M | 433.2M | |
Net Income | 323.9M | 124.9M | 494.3M | 603.4M | 502.8M | 527.9M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 196.3M | 657.5M | 529.1M | 339.7M | 367.8M | 386.2M | |
Change To Netincome | 38.1M | (35M) | 110M | 800K | 920K | 874K | |
Investments | 30.8M | 93.8M | (5.6M) | (324.6M) | (512.3M) | (486.7M) | |
Change Receivables | 6.8M | (56.2M) | (200K) | (122.6M) | (110.3M) | (104.8M) | |
Net Borrowings | (270.0M) | (246.2M) | 351.3M | 257.7M | 296.4M | 160.1M |
Polaris Industries Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Polaris Industries or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Polaris Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Polaris stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Polaris Industries Volatility Alert
Polaris Industries exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.62 and kurtosis of 1.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Polaris Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Polaris Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Polaris Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Polaris Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Polaris Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Polaris Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Polaris Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Polaris Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polaris Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Polaris Industries to competition |
Fundamentals | Polaris Industries | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.4 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0816 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 6.66 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 56.48 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.92 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.02 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.79 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 13.91 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 3.61 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.57 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 15.91 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 2.01 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 700.9 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 502.8 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 324.5 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 5.62 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 2.05 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 2.20 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.28 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 25.10 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 962.8 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 5.68 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 8.71 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.90 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 100.73 | |
Number Of Employees | 18.5 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.58 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 4.89 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 5.52 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 243.5 M | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 757.9 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Stephen Eastman of 10000 shares of Polaris Industries at 125.67 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Polaris Industries Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Polaris . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 37253.19 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 85.81 | |||
Day Typical Price | 85.61 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (1.25) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (1.29) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 63.25 |
About Polaris Industries Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Polaris Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Polaris Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.0B | 2.2B | 2.1B | 2.2B | Total Assets | 5.0B | 5.2B | 5.5B | 5.8B |
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Check out Polaris Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Polaris Stock please use our How to Invest in Polaris Industries guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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Is Polaris Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Polaris Industries. If investors know Polaris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Polaris Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Dividend Share 2.6 | Earnings Share 8.71 | Revenue Per Share 157.877 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Polaris Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Polaris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Polaris Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Polaris Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Polaris Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Polaris Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Polaris Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Polaris Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Polaris Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.