Pagerduty Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PD Stock | USD 21.22 0.50 2.41% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Pagerduty is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pagerduty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Pagerduty's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Pagerduty's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 22.85 | Target Price 28.29 | Hype Value 21.2 | Market Value 21.22 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Pagerduty given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Pagerduty. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Pagerduty, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Pagerduty |
Execute Pagerduty Buy or Sell Advice
The Pagerduty recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pagerduty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pagerduty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pagerduty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Pagerduty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Pagerduty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 430.7 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (81.76 M) with gross profit of 300.88 M. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PagerDuty investors are sitting on a loss of 46 percent if they invested three years ago |
Pagerduty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Pagerduty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pagerduty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pagerduty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pagerduty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pagerduty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pagerduty.
| Mean Return | -0.29 | Value At Risk | -5.24 | Potential Upside | 3.66 | Standard Deviation | 2.59 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pagerduty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Pagerduty Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Pagerduty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pagerduty backward and forwards among themselves. Pagerduty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Pagerduty's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1.5 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners) | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 910.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 906.6 K | Ark Investment Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 11.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 9.6 M |
Pagerduty Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (6.3M) | 215.1M | 10.6M | (75.8M) | 87M | 91.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (5.3M) | 5.2M | (12.8M) | 8.5M | 64.4M | 67.6M | |
| Depreciation | 2.3M | 5.3M | 8.4M | 17.4M | 40.7M | 42.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.4M | 25.7M | 25.0M | 27M | 238K | 226.1K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.2M | 4.8M | 6.8M | 8.5M | 7.5M | 5.9M | |
| Net Income | (50.3M) | (68.9M) | (107.5M) | (129.2M) | (81.8M) | (85.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 124.0M | 339.2M | 349.8M | 274.0M | 361.0M | 255.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 26.9M | 50.1M | 78.3M | 110.4M | 127.0M | 64.3M |
Pagerduty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pagerduty or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pagerduty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pagerduty stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Pagerduty Volatility Alert
Pagerduty exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.51 and kurtosis of 0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pagerduty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pagerduty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Pagerduty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Pagerduty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pagerduty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pagerduty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pagerduty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pagerduty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pagerduty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Pagerduty to competition |
| Fundamentals | Pagerduty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.37 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0689 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.19) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.31) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.82 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 92.75 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.09 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.23 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.3 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 11.96 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.76 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 430.7 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 300.88 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (45.05 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (81.76 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 274.02 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.28 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 461.02 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.21 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.85 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 71.97 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.34 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.89) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (6.67) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 26.05 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.18 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.91 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.92 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 925.31 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (552.43 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 421.54 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 925.31 M |
Note: Exercise or conversion by Howard Wilson of 322 shares of Pagerduty subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Pagerduty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pagerduty . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Pagerduty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Pagerduty? Buying financial instruments such as Pagerduty Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 49.0M | 53.6M | 45.7M | 29.7M | Total Assets | 806.4M | 817.9M | 925.3M | 637.9M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Pagerduty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Airlines Thematic Idea Now
Airlines
Domestic and international airlines and airline services. The Airlines theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Airlines Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Pagerduty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Pagerduty Stock refer to our How to Trade Pagerduty Stock guide.Note that the Pagerduty information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pagerduty's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
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When running Pagerduty's price analysis, check to measure Pagerduty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pagerduty is operating at the current time. Most of Pagerduty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pagerduty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pagerduty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pagerduty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pagerduty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pagerduty. If investors know Pagerduty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pagerduty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.89) | Revenue Per Share 4.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.37) |
The market value of Pagerduty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pagerduty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pagerduty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pagerduty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pagerduty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pagerduty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pagerduty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pagerduty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pagerduty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.