Otokar Otomotiv (Turkey) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OTKAR Stock  TRY 484.75  10.25  2.07%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Otokar Otomotiv ve is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Otokar Otomotiv buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OTKAR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Otokar Otomotiv's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Otokar Otomotiv's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
405.33
Hype Value
484.75
Market Value
484.75
Naive Value
500.7
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Otokar Otomotiv ve given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Otokar Otomotiv. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Otokar Otomotiv ve, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Otokar Otomotiv Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Otokar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Otokar Otomotiv ve. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Otokar Otomotiv Buy or Sell Advice

The Otokar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Otokar Otomotiv ve. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Otokar Otomotiv ve or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Otokar Otomotiv's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Otokar OtomotivBuy Otokar Otomotiv
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Otokar Otomotiv ve has a Mean Deviation of 1.83, Semi Deviation of 2.12, Standard Deviation of 2.53, Variance of 6.41, Downside Variance of 5.66 and Semi Variance of 4.49
Macroaxis provides advice on Otokar Otomotiv ve to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Otokar Otomotiv ve. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Otokar Otomotiv is not overpriced, please check all Otokar Otomotiv ve fundamentals, including its gross profit, earnings per share, z score, as well as the relationship between the total debt and total asset .

Otokar Otomotiv Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Otokar Otomotiv ve has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Otokar Otomotiv ve has accumulated about 154.02 M in cash with (1.8 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.42.
Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Otokar Otomotiv Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Otokar Otomotiv's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Otokar Otomotiv's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Otokar Otomotiv daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Otokar Otomotiv ve price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Otokar Otomotiv returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Otokar Otomotiv.
Mean Return
0.19
Value At Risk
-3.95
Potential Upside
5.87
Standard Deviation
2.53
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Otokar Otomotiv historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Otokar Otomotiv Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Otokar Otomotiv or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Otokar Otomotiv's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Otokar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Otokar Otomotiv Volatility Alert

Otokar Otomotiv ve currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Otokar Otomotiv's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Otokar Otomotiv's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Otokar Otomotiv Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Otokar Otomotiv's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Otokar Otomotiv's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Otokar Otomotiv and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Otokar Otomotiv or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Otokar Otomotiv's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Otokar Otomotiv by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Otokar Otomotiv to competition
FundamentalsOtokar OtomotivPeer Average
Return On Equity0.69-0.31
Return On Asset0.0998-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation27.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders69.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.27 %39.21 %
Price To Earning16.82 X28.72 X
Price To Book14.11 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.34 X11.42 X
Revenue9.6 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.04 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.98 B3.9 B
Net Income1.24 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents154.02 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.42 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.25 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity324.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.50 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share87.62 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(1.8 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share51.63 X3.12 X
Target Price821.83
Number Of Employees2.94 K18.84 K
Beta1.64-0.15
Market Capitalization21.17 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.15 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings109 M9.33 B
Working Capital378 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.16 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities777 M7.9 B
Z Score9.68.72

Otokar Otomotiv Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Otokar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Otokar Otomotiv Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Otokar Otomotiv ve? Buying financial instruments such as Otokar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Otokar Otomotiv in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Aircraft Thematic Idea Now

Aircraft
Aircraft Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Aircraft theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aircraft Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Otokar Otomotiv Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Otokar Otomotiv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Otokar Otomotiv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Otokar Otomotiv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.