Orexo AB (Sweden) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ORX Stock  SEK 17.20  0.30  1.71%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Orexo AB is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Orexo AB buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Orexo AB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Orexo AB's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Orexo AB's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
13.4
Hype Value
17.2
Market Value
17.2
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Orexo AB given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Orexo AB. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Orexo AB, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Orexo AB Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orexo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Orexo AB. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Orexo AB Buy or Sell Advice

The Orexo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orexo AB. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orexo AB or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orexo AB's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Orexo ABBuy Orexo AB
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Orexo AB has a Mean Deviation of 1.61, Semi Deviation of 1.58, Standard Deviation of 2.2, Variance of 4.84, Downside Variance of 3.31 and Semi Variance of 2.48
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Orexo AB and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Orexo AB is not overpriced, please check all Orexo AB fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash and equivalents, target price, as well as the relationship between the revenue and current ratio .

Orexo AB Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has kr519 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company reported the revenue of 624.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (183.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 521.7 M.
Orexo AB has accumulated about 697 M in cash with (156.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.64, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Orexo AB Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Orexo AB's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orexo AB's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orexo AB daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orexo AB price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orexo AB returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orexo AB.
Mean Return
0.28
Value At Risk
-2.72
Potential Upside
4.44
Standard Deviation
2.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orexo AB historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Orexo AB Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orexo AB or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orexo AB's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orexo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.30
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
2.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Orexo AB Volatility Alert

Orexo AB has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.66 and kurtosis of 1.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orexo AB's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orexo AB's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Orexo AB Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Orexo AB's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orexo AB's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orexo AB and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orexo AB or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orexo AB's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orexo AB by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Orexo AB to competition
FundamentalsOrexo ABPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.65-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0965-0.14
Profit Margin(0.28) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.29) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation795.36 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.29 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions42.78 %39.21 %
Price To Earning14.08 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.14 X11.42 X
Revenue624.3 M9.43 B
Gross Profit521.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA(116.3 M)3.9 B
Net Income(183.9 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents697 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share19.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt519 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity69.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.64 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(156.6 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(6.28) X3.12 X
Target Price38.0
Number Of Employees12618.84 K
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization612.75 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.11 B29.47 B
Working Capital553 M1.48 B
Current Asset845 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities292 M7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72
Net Asset1.11 B

Orexo AB Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orexo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Orexo AB Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Orexo AB? Buying financial instruments such as Orexo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Orexo AB in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Precious Metals Thematic Idea Now

Precious Metals
Precious Metals Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Precious Metals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Orexo AB Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Orexo AB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orexo AB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orexo AB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.