Orascom Development (Switzerland) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ODHN Stock | CHF 4.30 0.07 1.60% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Orascom Development Holding is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Orascom Development buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ODHN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Orascom Development's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Orascom Development's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.67 | Hype Value 4.3 | Market Value 4.3 | Naive Value 4.26 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Orascom Development Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Orascom Development. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Orascom Development Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Orascom |
Execute Orascom Development Buy or Sell Advice
The Orascom recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orascom Development Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orascom Development Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orascom Development's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Orascom Development Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Orascom Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orascom Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has ₣440.11 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 538.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.88 M. | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Orascom Development Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Orascom Development's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orascom Development's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orascom Development daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orascom Development Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orascom Development returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orascom Development.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -4.47 | Potential Upside | 5.61 | Standard Deviation | 2.76 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orascom Development historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Orascom Development Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orascom Development or Orascom sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orascom Development's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orascom stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Orascom Development Volatility Alert
Orascom Development Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.64 and kurtosis of 0.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orascom Development's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orascom Development's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Orascom Development Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Orascom Development's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orascom Development's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orascom Development and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orascom Development or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orascom Development's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orascom Development by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Orascom Development to competition |
| Fundamentals | Orascom Development | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.065 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.026 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 584.01 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 40.24 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 71.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 2.74 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | (2.11) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.94 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.49 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 538.5 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 108.88 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 85.33 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (5.68 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 132.26 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.33 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 440.11 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 63.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.01 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.39 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 41.74 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.32 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 8.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.83 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 301.83 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.07 B | 29.47 B |
| Net Asset | 2.07 B |
Orascom Development Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orascom . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Orascom Development Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Orascom Development Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Orascom Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Orascom Development in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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When running Orascom Development's price analysis, check to measure Orascom Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orascom Development is operating at the current time. Most of Orascom Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orascom Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orascom Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orascom Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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