Nvidia Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
NVDA Stock | USD 903.56 1.06 0.12% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding NVIDIA is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides NVIDIA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NVIDIA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of NVIDIA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting NVIDIA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 775.31 | Target Price 594.21 | Hype Value 912.81 | Market Value 903.56 | Naive Value 896.65 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell NVIDIA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards NVIDIA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for NVIDIA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
NVIDIA |
Execute NVIDIA Buy or Sell Advice
The NVIDIA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NVIDIA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NVIDIA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NVIDIA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
NVIDIA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
NVIDIA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
NVIDIA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 27th of March 2024 NVIDIA paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 15 Biggest Software Companies in the UK |
NVIDIA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of NVIDIA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NVIDIA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NVIDIA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NVIDIA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NVIDIA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NVIDIA.
Mean Return | 0.98 | Value At Risk | -2.85 | Potential Upside | 4.97 | Standard Deviation | 3.10 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NVIDIA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
NVIDIA Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as NVIDIA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NVIDIA backward and forwards among themselves. NVIDIA's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase NVIDIA's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 20.8 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 20.4 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 19.8 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 17.4 M | Jennison Associates Llc | 2023-12-31 | 14.3 M | Gqg Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 13.9 M | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 13.8 M | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2023-12-31 | 13.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2023-12-31 | 13.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 204.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 179.7 M |
NVIDIA Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | 597M | (524M) | (774M) | (2.6B) | (98M) | (102.9M) | |
Change In Cash | 10.1B | (10.0B) | 1.1B | 1.4B | 3.9B | 4.1B | |
Free Cash Flow | 4.3B | 4.7B | 8.1B | 3.8B | 27.0B | 28.4B | |
Depreciation | 381M | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
Other Non Cash Items | 5M | (20M) | (53M) | 1.4B | (516M) | (490.2M) | |
Capital Expenditures | 489M | 1.1B | 976M | 1.8B | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
Net Income | 2.8B | 4.3B | 9.8B | 4.4B | 29.8B | 31.2B | |
End Period Cash Flow | 10.9B | 847M | 2.0B | 3.4B | 7.3B | 7.6B | |
Investments | 6.6B | (10.0B) | (8.6B) | 7.4B | (10.6B) | (10.0B) | |
Change Receivables | (233M) | (550M) | (2.2B) | 822M | 739.8M | 776.8M | |
Dividends Paid | 390M | 395M | 399M | 398M | (395M) | (375.3M) | |
Change To Netincome | 867M | 1.1B | 1.5B | 583M | 670.5M | 484.9M | |
Net Borrowings | (16M) | (17M) | 5.0B | 4.0B | 4.6B | 4.8B |
NVIDIA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NVIDIA or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NVIDIA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NVIDIA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
NVIDIA Volatility Alert
NVIDIA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.27 and Jensen Alpha of 0.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NVIDIA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NVIDIA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.NVIDIA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing NVIDIA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NVIDIA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NVIDIA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NVIDIA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NVIDIA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NVIDIA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare NVIDIA to competition |
Fundamentals | NVIDIA | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.91 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.39 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.49 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.62 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 2.24 T | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.00 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 68.05 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 30.32 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 41.94 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 52.50 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 37.04 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 60.92 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 15.36 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 34.48 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 29.76 B | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 13.14 B | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 5.34 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 11.06 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 0.56 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 3.39 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 17.44 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 28.09 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 0.49 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 11.91 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.22 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 979.64 | |
Number Of Employees | 29.6 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.73 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 2.26 T | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 65.73 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 29.82 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 33.71 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Payment of 6547 shares by Tim Teter of NVIDIA subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
NVIDIA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NVIDIA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 1 M | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0503 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
Day Median Price | 902.46 | |||
Day Typical Price | 902.83 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 1.62 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 1.06 |
About NVIDIA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell NVIDIA? Buying financial instruments such as NVIDIA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 11.7B | 11.9B | 11.1B | 11.6B | Total Assets | 44.2B | 41.2B | 65.7B | 69.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having NVIDIA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Most Shorted Equities
Dynamically calculated list of top equities currently trending upward via a buy-out by investors. The Most Shorted Equities theme has 219 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Most Shorted Equities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out NVIDIA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade NVIDIA Stock refer to our How to Trade NVIDIA Stock guide.Note that the NVIDIA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other NVIDIA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for NVIDIA Stock analysis
When running NVIDIA's price analysis, check to measure NVIDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVIDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NVIDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVIDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVIDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVIDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NVIDIA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NVIDIA. If investors know NVIDIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NVIDIA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.613 | Dividend Share 0.16 | Earnings Share 11.91 | Revenue Per Share 24.675 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.653 |
The market value of NVIDIA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NVIDIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NVIDIA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NVIDIA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NVIDIA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NVIDIA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NVIDIA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NVIDIA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NVIDIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.