Northern Trust Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NTRS Stock  USD 87.75  1.13  1.30%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northern Trust is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Northern Trust buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NTRS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Northern Trust's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Northern Trust's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
73.13
Target Price
74.85
Hype Value
87.75
Market Value
87.75
Naive Value
89.98
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Northern Trust given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Northern Trust. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Northern Trust, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Northern Trust Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Northern Stock please use our How to Invest in Northern Trust guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Northern Trust. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Northern Trust Buy or Sell Advice

The Northern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northern Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northern Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northern Trust's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Northern TrustBuy Northern Trust
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Northern Trust has a Mean Deviation of 1.03, Semi Deviation of 1.58, Standard Deviation of 1.42, Variance of 2.02, Downside Variance of 2.77 and Semi Variance of 2.49
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Northern Trust to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Northern Trust. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Northern Trust is not overpriced, please verify all Northern Trust fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the ebitda and number of employees . Given that Northern Trust has a price to earning of 12.77 X, we recommend you to check Northern Trust market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Northern Trust Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Achieving Corporate Excellence Apprenticeship Programmes

Northern Trust Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Northern Trust's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northern Trust's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northern Trust daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northern Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northern Trust returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northern Trust.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-2.45
Potential Upside
2.22
Standard Deviation
1.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northern Trust historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Northern Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Northern Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Northern Trust's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Northern Trust's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
4.4 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2023-12-31
4.4 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
3.3 M
Mariner Value Strategies, Llc2023-12-31
3.1 M
Ariel Investments, Llc2023-12-31
2.7 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
2.5 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
2.3 M
Fiduciary Management, Inc. Of Milwaukee2023-12-31
2.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
1.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
23.4 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
15.3 M
Note, although Northern Trust's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Northern Trust Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(122.4M)(69.7M)(1.3B)1.6B137.3M130.4M
Free Cash Flow2.4B1.8B1.3B2.3B1.9B2.0B
Depreciation458.9M500.3M515.6M553.6M634.6M666.3M
Other Non Cash Items(448.2M)(16.4M)183.8M(285.7M)774.5M813.2M
Dividends Paid576.1M630.5M625.1M796.7M(663.3M)(630.1M)
Capital Expenditures158M135.8M95.5M128.6M675.8M709.6M
Net Income1.5B1.2B1.5B1.3B1.1B733.0M
End Period Cash Flow4.5B4.4B3.1B4.7B4.8B3.7B
Change To Inventory(70.7M)25.4M37.2M(44.4M)(51.1M)(48.5M)
Change To Netincome1.2B(16.6M)193.1M(428.4M)(492.7M)(468.0M)
Investments2.2B(8.5B)(1.3B)25.9B13.8B14.5B
Change Receivables(197M)(50.3M)4.5M(460.9M)(414.8M)(394.1M)
Net Borrowings(2.4B)(2.7B)(973.2M)7.4B8.5B8.9B

Northern Trust Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northern Trust or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northern Trust's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.71
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Northern Trust Volatility Alert

Northern Trust has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.04 and kurtosis of 2.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northern Trust's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northern Trust's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Northern Trust Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Northern Trust's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northern Trust's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northern Trust and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northern Trust or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northern Trust's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Trust by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Northern Trust to competition
FundamentalsNorthern TrustPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0956-0.31
Return On Asset0.0072-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation29.46 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding204.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.16 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.48 M4.71 M
Price To Earning12.77 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.61 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.62 X11.42 X
Revenue12.12 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.75 B27.38 B
EBITDA(53.4 M)3.9 B
Net Income1.11 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents11.58 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share55.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt17.24 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity12.41 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share53.69 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.63 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.56 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.08 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.67 X4.89 X
Target Price87.92
Number Of Employees23.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.13-0.15
Market Capitalization17.67 B19.03 B
Total Asset150.78 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings14.23 B9.33 B
Z Score0.838.72
Annual Yield0.03 %

Northern Trust Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Northern Trust Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Northern Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Northern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total7.2B12.4B17.2B18.1B
Total Assets183.9B155.0B150.8B80.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Northern Trust in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Construction Materials Thematic Idea Now

Construction Materials
Construction Materials Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction Materials theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Materials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Northern Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Northern Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Northern Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Northern Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Northern Trust Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Northern Stock please use our How to Invest in Northern Trust guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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Is Northern Trust's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Trust. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Trust listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
3
Earnings Share
5.08
Revenue Per Share
32.565
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
The market value of Northern Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.