Microsoft (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MSF Stock  EUR 380.70  3.20  0.85%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Microsoft is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Microsoft buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MSF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Microsoft's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Microsoft's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
382.06
Hype Value
380.7
Market Value
380.7
Naive Value
373.49
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Microsoft given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Microsoft. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Microsoft, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Microsoft Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Microsoft and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Microsoft Buy or Sell Advice

The Microsoft recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Microsoft. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Microsoft or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Microsoft's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MicrosoftBuy Microsoft
Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Microsoft has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0423, Jensen Alpha of 0.0355, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1792
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Microsoft to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Microsoft. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Microsoft is not overpriced, please verify all Microsoft fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to earning, gross profit, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to sales .

Microsoft Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Microsoft Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Microsoft's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Microsoft's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Microsoft daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Microsoft price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Microsoft returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Microsoft.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-1.82
Potential Upside
2.55
Standard Deviation
1.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Microsoft historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Microsoft Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Microsoft or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Microsoft's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Microsoft stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Microsoft Volatility Alert

Microsoft has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of 0.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Microsoft's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Microsoft's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Microsoft Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Microsoft's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Microsoft's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Microsoft and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Microsoft or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Microsoft's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Microsoft by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Microsoft to competition
FundamentalsMicrosoftPeer Average
Return On Equity0.39-0.31
Return On Asset0.15-0.14
Profit Margin0.33 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.41 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.69 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding7.44 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions73.69 %39.21 %
Price To Earning47.77 X28.72 X
Price To Book10.63 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.68 X11.42 X
Revenue198.27 B9.43 B
Gross Profit135.62 B27.38 B
EBITDA97.84 B3.9 B
Net Income72.74 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents130.26 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share17.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt47.03 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.58 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.08 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.59 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations89.03 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share8.49 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.19 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees221 K18.84 K
Beta0.92-0.15
Market Capitalization1.72 T19.03 B
Total Asset364.84 B29.47 B
Z Score21.68.72
Annual Yield0.01 %
Five Year Return1.50 %
Net Asset364.84 B
Last Dividend Paid2.6

Microsoft Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Microsoft . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Microsoft Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Microsoft? Buying financial instruments such as Microsoft Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Microsoft in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Investor Favorites Thematic Idea Now

Investor Favorites
Investor Favorites Theme
Macroaxis most traded equities with largest long positions over the last 2 years. The Investor Favorites theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investor Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:
Check out Microsoft Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.