Molina Healthcare Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MOH Stock | USD 367.52 6.58 1.82% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Molina Healthcare is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Molina Healthcare buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MOH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Molina Healthcare's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Molina Healthcare's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 320.54 | Target Price 348.71 | Hype Value 360.98 | Market Value 367.52 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Molina Healthcare given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Molina Healthcare. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Molina Healthcare, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Molina |
Execute Molina Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice
The Molina recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Molina Healthcare. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Molina Healthcare or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Molina Healthcare's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Molina Healthcare Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Molina Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Elevance stock hits 52-week high after Q1 results |
Molina Healthcare Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Molina Healthcare's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Molina Healthcare's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Molina Healthcare daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Molina Healthcare price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Molina Healthcare returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Molina Healthcare.
| Mean Return | -0.08 | Value At Risk | -4.08 | Potential Upside | 1.88 | Standard Deviation | 1.64 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Molina Healthcare historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Molina Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Molina Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Molina Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Molina Healthcare's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Molina Healthcare's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1.3 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-09-30 | 1.2 M | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2023-09-30 | 908.1 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-09-30 | 858.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-09-30 | 604.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-09-30 | 488 K | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2023-09-30 | 470.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-09-30 | 447.8 K | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2023-09-30 | 423.4 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 6.6 M | Capital World Investors | 2023-09-30 | 5.5 M |
Molina Healthcare Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 57M | 74M | 77M | 91M | 84M | 65.1M | |
| Net Income | 737M | 673M | 659M | 792M | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.5B | 4.2B | 4.5B | 4.0B | 4.9B | 5.2B | |
| Change In Cash | (418M) | 1.7B | 283M | (458M) | 860M | 903M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 370M | 1.8B | 2.0B | 682M | 1.6B | 1.7B | |
| Depreciation | 89M | 88M | 131M | 176M | 171M | 93.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (15M) | 27M | 58M | 216M | 2M | 1.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | (794M) | 76M | 100M | 415M | 477.3M | 501.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 29M | 50M | 106M | 253M | 291.0M | 305.5M | |
| Investments | 2.5B | 427M | (1.4B) | (790M) | (571M) | (542.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (76M) | (100M) | (415M) | (95M) | (85.5M) | (89.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 623M | 558M | 886M | 17M | 19.6M | 18.6M |
Molina Healthcare Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Molina Healthcare or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Molina Healthcare's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Molina stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Molina Healthcare Volatility Alert
Molina Healthcare exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.7 and kurtosis of 3.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Molina Healthcare's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Molina Healthcare's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Molina Healthcare Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Molina Healthcare's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Molina Healthcare's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Molina Healthcare and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Molina Healthcare or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Molina Healthcare's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Molina Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Molina Healthcare to competition |
| Fundamentals | Molina Healthcare | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.3 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0743 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 14.48 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 58.58 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.13 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.87 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.15 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 26.49 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.23 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.67 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 34.07 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.93 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.74 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.09 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.01 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 135.88 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.38 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.79 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.45 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 72.67 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.66 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.18 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 18.77 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.62) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 419.55 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.49 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 21.15 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 14.89 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.89 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.37 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Sale by Joseph Zubretsky of 3869 shares of Molina Healthcare [view details]
Molina Healthcare Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Molina . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8034.53 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9427 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 365.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 366.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.87 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 6.58 |
About Molina Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Molina Healthcare? Buying financial instruments such as Molina Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.5B | Total Assets | 12.2B | 12.3B | 14.9B | 15.6B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Molina Healthcare in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Petroleum and Natural Gas Thematic Idea Now
Petroleum and Natural Gas
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Petroleum and Natural Gas theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Petroleum and Natural Gas Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Molina Healthcare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Molina Stock please use our How to Invest in Molina Healthcare guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Molina Stock analysis
When running Molina Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Molina Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Molina Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Molina Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Molina Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Molina Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Molina Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Molina Healthcare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Molina Healthcare. If investors know Molina will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Molina Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.842 | Earnings Share 18.77 | Revenue Per Share 571.976 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 | Return On Assets 0.0743 |
The market value of Molina Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Molina that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Molina Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Molina Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Molina Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Molina Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Molina Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Molina Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Molina Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.