Altria Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MO Stock | USD 41.30 0.20 0.49% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Altria Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Altria buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Altria positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Altria's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Altria's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 43.83 | Target Price 46.07 | Hype Value 41.27 | Market Value 41.3 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Altria Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Altria. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Altria Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Altria |
Execute Altria Buy or Sell Advice
The Altria recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Altria Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Altria Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Altria's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Altria Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reports 26.23 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.56, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Altria Group has a current ratio of 0.48, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Altria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Altria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Altria Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Altria to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Altria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Altria shares are owned by institutional investors | |
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Altria Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Altria's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Altria's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Altria daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Altria Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Altria returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Altria.
| Mean Return | 0.05 | Value At Risk | -1.89 | Potential Upside | 2.15 | Standard Deviation | 1.31 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Altria historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Altria Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Altria is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altria Group backward and forwards among themselves. Altria's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Altria's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Capital Research Global Investors | 2023-12-31 | 13.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 12.4 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 12.2 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 11.6 M | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 10.8 M | Harris Associates L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 10.1 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 10 M | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 9.3 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 8.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 159.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 126.4 M |
Altria Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 42M | 2M | 57M | 14M | (15M) | (15.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | 119M | 727M | 2.8B | (412M) | (503M) | (351.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 7.6B | 8.2B | 8.2B | 8.1B | 9.1B | 6.8B | |
| Depreciation | 227M | 226M | 257M | 244M | 272M | 258.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 355M | 730M | 123M | 3.8B | 1.6B | 1.6B | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.1B | 6.3B | 6.4B | 6.6B | (6.8B) | (6.4B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 246M | 231M | 169M | 205M | 196M | 186.2M | |
| Net Income | (1.3B) | 4.5B | 2.5B | 5.8B | 8.1B | 6.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.2B | 5.0B | 4.6B | 4.1B | 3.7B | 3.1B | |
| Change To Netincome | 9.0B | 763M | 5.7B | 2.9B | 3.3B | 3.4B | |
| Investments | (1.9B) | (143M) | 1.2B | 782M | (220M) | (209M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.3B | 993M | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | (1.3B) | (1.2B) |
Altria Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Altria or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Altria's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Altria stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0077 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Altria Volatility Alert
Altria Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 3.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Altria's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Altria's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Altria Implied Volatility
Altria's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Altria Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Altria's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Altria stock will not fluctuate a lot when Altria's options are near their expiration.
Altria Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Altria's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Altria's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Altria and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Altria or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Altria's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altria by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Altria to competition |
| Fundamentals | Altria | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.2 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.40 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.59 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 95.43 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.72 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 59.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 60.34 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 19.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 27.30 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.44 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 24.48 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 14.18 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 12.32 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.11 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.03 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.42 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 26.23 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.56 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.49 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (2.01) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.29 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.54 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.57 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 6.31 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 46.58 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.4 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.7 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 70.94 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 38.57 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 31.09 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (5.73 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 6.09 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Ellen Strahlman of 01 shares of Altria subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Altria Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Altria . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Altria Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Altria Group? Buying financial instruments such as Altria Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 28.0B | 26.7B | 26.2B | 19.3B | Total Assets | 39.5B | 37.0B | 38.6B | 56.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Altria in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Corona Opportunity Thematic Idea Now
Corona Opportunity
Firms that are involved in some capacity in making products or providing services to the public to buttle the virus directly or indirectly. This also includes some defencive and contrarian stocks and ETFs that are managing to avoid the big market correction coused by coronavirus. The Corona Opportunity theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corona Opportunity Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Altria Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Altria Stock analysis
When running Altria's price analysis, check to measure Altria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altria is operating at the current time. Most of Altria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altria's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. If investors know Altria will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altria listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 3.84 | Earnings Share 4.57 | Revenue Per Share 11.537 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Altria Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altria's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altria's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altria's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altria's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altria is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.