Moodys Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
MCO Stock | USD 393.03 2.79 0.71% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Moodys is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Moodys buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Moodys positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Moodys' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Moodys' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 351.3 | Target Price 367 | Hype Value 390.26 | Market Value 393.03 | Naive Value 378.47 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Moodys given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Moodys. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Moodys, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Moodys |
Execute Moodys Buy or Sell Advice
The Moodys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Moodys. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Moodys or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Moodys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Moodys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Moodys has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 15th of March 2024 Moodys paid $ 0.85 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Baltimore bridge collapse poses little threat to U.S. economic growth, experts say |
Moodys Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Moodys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Moodys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Moodys daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Moodys price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Moodys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Moodys.
Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -1.72 | Potential Upside | 1.80 | Standard Deviation | 1.41 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Moodys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Moodys Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Moodys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moodys backward and forwards among themselves. Moodys' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Moodys' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Ninety One Uk Limited | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Stonepine Asset Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Longview Partners (guernsey) Ltd. | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M | Rothschild & Co Wealth Management Uk Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M | Veritas Asset Management Llp | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Berkshire Hathaway Inc | 2023-09-30 | 24.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 14.2 M |
Moodys Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | 147M | 765M | (786M) | (42M) | 361M | 379.1M | |
Free Cash Flow | 1.6B | 2.0B | 1.9B | 1.2B | 1.9B | 2.0B | |
Depreciation | 200M | 220M | 257M | 331M | 373M | 391.7M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 52M | 1M | (23M) | (21M) | 54M | 56.7M | |
Dividends Paid | 378M | 420M | 463M | 515M | (564M) | (535.8M) | |
Capital Expenditures | 69M | 103M | 139M | 283M | 271M | 284.6M | |
Net Income | 1.4B | 1.8B | 2.2B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 864.4M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 1.8B | 2.6B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 1.1B | |
Investments | 41M | (77M) | (290M) | (262M) | (235.8M) | (224.0M) | |
Change Receivables | (134M) | 31M | (257M) | 34M | 30.6M | 32.1M | |
Net Borrowings | (129M) | 688M | 1.2B | 362M | 416.3M | 489.7M | |
Change To Netincome | 112M | 143M | (66M) | 246M | 282.9M | 297.0M |
Moodys Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Moodys or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Moodys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Moodys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Moodys Volatility Alert
Moodys has relatively low volatility with skewness of -2.75 and kurtosis of 14.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Moodys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Moodys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Moodys Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Moodys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Moodys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Moodys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Moodys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Moodys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Moodys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Moodys to competition |
Fundamentals | Moodys | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.52 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0964 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.36 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 76.59 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 182.56 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 13.76 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.46 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.09 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 35.64 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 21.51 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 12.09 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 5.92 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 3.85 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 2.59 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 1.61 B | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 1.77 B | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 9.53 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 7.42 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 3.38 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.80 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 18.18 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 2.15 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 1.26 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 8.72 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.33 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 399.24 | |
Number Of Employees | 15.15 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.27 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 71.51 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 14.62 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 14.66 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 1.72 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by John Wulff of 808 shares of Moodys subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Moodys Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Moodys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 6270.31 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.637 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
Day Median Price | 393.35 | |||
Day Typical Price | 393.24 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 1.07 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 2.79 |
About Moodys Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Moodys? Buying financial instruments such as Moodys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 560M | 474M | 7.4B | 7.8B | Total Assets | 14.7B | 14.3B | 14.6B | 15.4B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Moodys in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Moodys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.Note that the Moodys information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Moodys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Moodys Stock analysis
When running Moodys' price analysis, check to measure Moodys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moodys is operating at the current time. Most of Moodys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moodys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moodys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moodys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Moodys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moodys. If investors know Moodys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moodys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.382 | Dividend Share 3.08 | Earnings Share 8.72 | Revenue Per Share 32.293 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.147 |
The market value of Moodys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moodys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moodys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moodys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moodys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moodys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moodys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moodys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moodys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.