Mastercard Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MA Stock  USD 456.75  1.36  0.30%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mastercard is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Mastercard buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mastercard's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mastercard's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
443.69
Target Price
427.96
Hype Value
456.74
Market Value
456.75
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mastercard given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mastercard. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mastercard, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Mastercard Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Mastercard Stock refer to our How to Trade Mastercard Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mastercard and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mastercard. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Mastercard Buy or Sell Advice

The Mastercard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mastercard. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mastercard or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mastercard's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MastercardBuy Mastercard
Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mastercard has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0666, Jensen Alpha of 0.0312, Total Risk Alpha of (0.03), Sortino Ratio of 0.0159 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1133
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Mastercard to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Mastercard. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Mastercard is not overpriced, please verify all Mastercard fundamentals, including its cash per share, short ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and current ratio . Given that Mastercard has a price to earning of 35.09 X, we recommend you to check Mastercard market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mastercard Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mastercard is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Mastercard has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MasterCard Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note

Mastercard Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mastercard's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mastercard's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mastercard daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mastercard price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mastercard returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mastercard.
Mean Return
0.10
Value At Risk
-1.43
Potential Upside
1.57
Standard Deviation
1.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mastercard historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mastercard Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mastercard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mastercard backward and forwards among themselves. Mastercard's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mastercard's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Norges Bank2023-12-31
10.8 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
10.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
9.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
8.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
8.4 M
Hhg Plc2023-12-31
7.7 M
Jennison Associates Llc2023-12-31
7.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
7.4 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
6.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
75.3 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
67.6 M
Note, although Mastercard's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mastercard Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.4B)(3.0B)(1.4B)(823M)(740.7M)(703.7M)
Change In Cash632M3.5B(2.5B)(706M)1.3B1.3B
Free Cash Flow7.5B6.5B8.6B10.1B11.6B12.2B
Depreciation522M580M726M750M799M839.0M
Other Non Cash Items998M1.1B762M1.8B268M464.0M
Capital Expenditures728M708M814M1.1B371M364.5M
Net Income8.1B6.4B8.7B9.9B11.2B11.8B
End Period Cash Flow9.0B12.4B9.9B9.2B10.5B11.0B
Dividends Paid1.3B1.6B1.7B1.9B2.2B2.3B
Investments999M29M(55M)(1.5B)(1.4B)(1.3B)
Change Receivables(246M)(86M)(397M)(481M)(432.9M)(411.3M)
Net Borrowings2.2B4.0B1.4B399M458.9M435.9M
Change To Netincome267M341M(405M)(312M)(280.8M)(266.8M)

Mastercard Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mastercard or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mastercard's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mastercard stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Mastercard Volatility Alert

Mastercard has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.41 and kurtosis of 2.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mastercard's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mastercard's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mastercard Implied Volatility

Mastercard's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mastercard stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mastercard's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mastercard stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mastercard's options are near their expiration.

Mastercard Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mastercard's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mastercard's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mastercard and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mastercard or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mastercard's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mastercard by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mastercard to competition
FundamentalsMastercardPeer Average
Return On Equity1.67-0.31
Return On Asset0.22-0.14
Profit Margin0.45 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.56 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation432.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding925.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.04 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions78.71 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.45 M4.71 M
Price To Earning35.09 X28.72 X
Price To Book62.66 X9.51 X
Price To Sales17.30 X11.42 X
Revenue25.1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit22.24 B27.38 B
EBITDA15.35 B3.9 B
Net Income11.2 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.01 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt15.68 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.25 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.42 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations11.98 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.93 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share11.84 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.56 X4.89 X
Target Price512.4
Number Of Employees33.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization424.83 B19.03 B
Total Asset42.45 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings62.56 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.7 B1.48 B

Mastercard Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mastercard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mastercard Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mastercard? Buying financial instruments such as Mastercard Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total13.9B14.0B15.7B16.5B
Total Assets37.7B38.7B42.4B44.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mastercard in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Financials ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Financials ETFs
Financials ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Financials ETFs theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Mastercard offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mastercard's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mastercard Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mastercard Stock:
Check out Mastercard Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Mastercard Stock refer to our How to Trade Mastercard Stock guide.
Note that the Mastercard information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mastercard's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Complementary Tools for Mastercard Stock analysis

When running Mastercard's price analysis, check to measure Mastercard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mastercard is operating at the current time. Most of Mastercard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mastercard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mastercard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mastercard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mastercard's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mastercard. If investors know Mastercard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mastercard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.136
Dividend Share
2.37
Earnings Share
11.84
Revenue Per Share
26.587
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.126
The market value of Mastercard is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mastercard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mastercard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mastercard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mastercard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mastercard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mastercard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mastercard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mastercard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.