Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LIND Stock  USD 9.25  0.15  1.65%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lindblad Expeditions Holdings is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Lindblad Expeditions buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LIND positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Lindblad Expeditions' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Lindblad Expeditions' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
10.65
Target Price
15.67
Hype Value
9.16
Market Value
9.25
Naive Value
9.76
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Lindblad Expeditions Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Lindblad Expeditions. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Lindblad Expeditions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lindblad and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lindblad Expeditions Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Lindblad Expeditions Buy or Sell Advice

The Lindblad recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lindblad Expeditions Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lindblad Expeditions Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lindblad Expeditions' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lindblad ExpeditionsBuy Lindblad Expeditions
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lindblad Expeditions Holdings has a Mean Deviation of 2.44, Standard Deviation of 3.14 and Variance of 9.88
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Lindblad Expeditions Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Lindblad Expeditions is not overpriced, please verify all Lindblad Expeditions Holdings fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, beta, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and short ratio . Given that Lindblad Expeditions has a number of shares shorted of 3.04 M, we recommend you to check Lindblad Expeditions market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lindblad Expeditions Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lindblad Expeditions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lindblad Expeditions has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company currently holds 623.75 M in liabilities. Lindblad Expeditions has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Lindblad Expeditions until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lindblad Expeditions' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lindblad Expeditions sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lindblad to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lindblad Expeditions' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 569.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.28 M.
Lindblad Expeditions has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: StockNews.com Downgrades Lindblad Expeditions to Sell - Defense World

Lindblad Expeditions Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lindblad Expeditions' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lindblad Expeditions' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lindblad Expeditions daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lindblad Expeditions Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lindblad Expeditions returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lindblad Expeditions.
Mean Return
-0.19
Value At Risk
-6.31
Potential Upside
5.44
Standard Deviation
3.14
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lindblad Expeditions historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lindblad Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lindblad Expeditions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lindblad Expeditions Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Lindblad Expeditions' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lindblad Expeditions' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
753 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
613.1 K
Pinnacle Associates Inc2023-12-31
602 K
Formula Growth Ltd2023-12-31
523.4 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
395 K
Anchor Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
385.7 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
380 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2023-12-31
342.5 K
Fred Alger Management, Llc2023-12-31
313.5 K
Ariel Investments, Llc2023-12-31
8.6 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
2.6 M
Note, although Lindblad Expeditions' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lindblad Expeditions Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(12.9M)95.3M(31.8M)(56.7M)71.3M74.9M
Free Cash Flow(33.4M)(247.7M)(64.2M)(40.4M)(4.5M)(4.7M)
Capital Expenditures96.0M155.5M96.7M38.2M30.0M54.8M
Net Income18.7M(100.1M)(119.2M)(108.2M)(45.6M)(43.3M)
End Period Cash Flow109.3M204.5M172.7M116.0M187.3M114.3M
Investments(4.1M)(155.5M)(114.7M)(49.6M)(27.6M)(29.0M)
Net Borrowings26.1M258.5M55.8M(3.8M)(4.4M)(4.2M)
Other Non Cash Items4.7M7.8M4.5M13.4M11.2M11.8M
Change To Netincome5.0M(2.7M)6.0M22.6M25.9M27.2M
Change To Inventory(1.6M)685K(2.9M)(1.4M)2.1M2.2M
Depreciation25.9M32.1M39.5M44.0M47.5M29.5M

Lindblad Expeditions Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lindblad Expeditions or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lindblad Expeditions' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lindblad stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.52
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.63
σ
Overall volatility
3.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Lindblad Expeditions Volatility Alert

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of 0.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lindblad Expeditions' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lindblad Expeditions' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lindblad Expeditions Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lindblad Expeditions' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lindblad Expeditions' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lindblad Expeditions and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lindblad Expeditions or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lindblad Expeditions' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lindblad Expeditions by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lindblad Expeditions to competition
FundamentalsLindblad ExpeditionsPeer Average
Return On Equity-19.47-0.31
Return On Asset0.0082-0.14
Profit Margin(0.08) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.11) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding53.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders32.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions74.12 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.04 M4.71 M
Price To Earning62.42 X28.72 X
Price To Book159.80 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.86 X11.42 X
Revenue569.54 M9.43 B
Gross Profit138.28 M27.38 B
EBITDA58.12 M3.9 B
Net Income(45.61 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents117.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.22 X5.01 X
Total Debt623.75 M5.32 B
Current Ratio0.62 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(4.22) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations25.44 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.73 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.94) X3.12 X
Target Price14.0
Number Of Employees92518.84 K
Beta2.86-0.15
Market Capitalization492.62 M19.03 B
Total Asset831.3 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(322.21 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(74.72 M)1.48 B
Current Asset234.34 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities104.32 M7.9 B
Note: Payment of 20708 shares by SvenOlof Lindblad of Lindblad Expeditions subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Lindblad Expeditions Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lindblad . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lindblad Expeditions Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lindblad Expeditions Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Lindblad Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total549.5M557.4M623.7M654.9M
Total Assets827.5M788.0M831.3M494.2M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lindblad Expeditions in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Lindblad Expeditions is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lindblad Expeditions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lindblad Expeditions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lindblad Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lindblad Expeditions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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Is Lindblad Expeditions' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lindblad Expeditions. If investors know Lindblad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lindblad Expeditions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.94)
Revenue Per Share
10.694
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.063
Return On Assets
0.0082
Return On Equity
(19.47)
The market value of Lindblad Expeditions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lindblad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lindblad Expeditions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lindblad Expeditions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lindblad Expeditions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lindblad Expeditions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lindblad Expeditions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lindblad Expeditions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lindblad Expeditions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.