Imperial Oil Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

IMO Stock  USD 68.65  0.05  0.07%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Imperial Oil is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Imperial Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding IMO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Imperial Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Imperial Oil's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
72.27
Target Price
67.37
Hype Value
68.9
Market Value
68.65
Naive Value
69.11
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Imperial Oil given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Imperial Oil. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Imperial Oil, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Imperial Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Imperial and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Imperial Oil. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Imperial Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Imperial recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Imperial Oil. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Imperial Oil or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Imperial Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Imperial OilBuy Imperial Oil
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Imperial Oil has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1242, Jensen Alpha of 0.2135, Total Risk Alpha of (0.03), Sortino Ratio of 0.1311 and Treynor Ratio of 0.422
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendations on Imperial Oil that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Imperial Oil. Our advice engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Imperial Oil is not overpriced, please check out all Imperial Oil fundamentals, including its book value per share, retained earnings, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Imperial Oil has a price to book of 2.25 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Imperial Oil market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Imperial Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Imperial Oil Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates - Yahoo Movies Canada

Imperial Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Imperial Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Imperial Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Imperial Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Imperial Oil price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Imperial Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Imperial Oil.
Mean Return
0.31
Value At Risk
-1.96
Potential Upside
2.90
Standard Deviation
1.47
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Imperial Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Imperial Oil Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Depreciation1.6B3.3B2.0B1.9B2.6B2.7B
Other Non Cash Items1.7B3.5B2.5B1.7B4.8B5.0B
Capital Expenditures1.6B868M1.1B1.5B2.4B1.8B
Net Income2.2B(1.9B)2.5B7.3B6.6B6.9B
End Period Cash Flow1.7B771M2.2B3.7B1.1B859.2M
Change To Inventory(74M)78M45M(477M)(688M)(653.6M)
Change In Cash730M(947M)1.4B1.6B(2.6B)(2.5B)
Free Cash Flow2.8B(70M)4.4B9.0B2.6B2.8B
Dividends Paid631M649M706M851M(1.1B)(1.0B)
Investments(1.7B)(802M)(1.0B)(618M)(1.8B)(1.7B)
Net Borrowings9M(20M)(131M)(1.0B)(919.8M)(873.8M)
Change To Netincome(176M)(283M)657M(240M)(216M)(205.2M)

Imperial Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Imperial Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Imperial Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Imperial stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.72
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Imperial Oil Volatility Alert

Imperial Oil has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.11 and kurtosis of 0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Imperial Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Imperial Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Imperial Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Imperial Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Imperial Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Imperial Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Imperial Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Imperial Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imperial Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Imperial Oil to competition
FundamentalsImperial OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.0911-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation39.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding535.84 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders69.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions26.56 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted15.08 M4.71 M
Price To Earning8.40 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.72 X11.42 X
Revenue68.79 B9.43 B
Gross Profit12.09 B27.38 B
EBITDA11.17 B3.9 B
Net Income6.6 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.75 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.50 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.33 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.18 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share41.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.04 B971.22 M
Short Ratio36.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.24 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.85 X4.89 X
Target Price63.89
Number Of Employees5.3 K18.84 K
Beta1.84-0.15
Market Capitalization36.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset41.2 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings21.91 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.7 B1.48 B

Imperial Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Imperial . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Imperial Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Imperial Oil? Buying financial instruments such as Imperial Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total5.3B4.3B4.3B3.1B
Total Assets40.8B43.5B41.2B23.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Imperial Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Financials Thematic Idea Now

Financials
Financials Theme
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Imperial Oil offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Imperial Oil's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Imperial Oil Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Imperial Oil Stock:
Check out Imperial Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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Is Imperial Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Imperial Oil. If investors know Imperial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Imperial Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Dividend Share
1.94
Earnings Share
6.24
Revenue Per Share
88.208
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of Imperial Oil is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Imperial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Imperial Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Imperial Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Imperial Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Imperial Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Imperial Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Imperial Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Imperial Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.