Hochdorf Holding (Switzerland) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HOCN Stock | CHF 4.46 0.24 5.11% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hochdorf Holding AG is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Hochdorf Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HOCN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hochdorf Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hochdorf Holding's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 4.28 | Hype Value 4.46 | Market Value 4.46 | Naive Value 4.46 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hochdorf Holding AG given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hochdorf Holding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hochdorf Holding AG, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Hochdorf |
Execute Hochdorf Holding Buy or Sell Advice
The Hochdorf recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hochdorf Holding AG. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hochdorf Holding AG or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hochdorf Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Hochdorf Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hochdorf Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hochdorf Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hochdorf Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has ₣57.24 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Hochdorf Holding AG has accumulated about 24.27 M in cash with (17.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.93, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hochdorf Holding Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hochdorf Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hochdorf Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hochdorf Holding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hochdorf Holding AG price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hochdorf Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hochdorf Holding.
| Mean Return | -1.67 | Value At Risk | -13.23 | Potential Upside | 3.49 | Standard Deviation | 5.85 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hochdorf Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hochdorf Holding Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hochdorf Holding or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hochdorf Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hochdorf stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.75 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Hochdorf Holding Volatility Alert
Hochdorf Holding AG exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.6 and kurtosis of 5.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hochdorf Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hochdorf Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hochdorf Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hochdorf Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hochdorf Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hochdorf Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hochdorf Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hochdorf Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hochdorf Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hochdorf Holding to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hochdorf Holding | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0396 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.074 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.12) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 80.35 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.12 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 58.73 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 54.35 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.29 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 303.52 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 60.68 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 24.74 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.55 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 24.27 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 21.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 57.24 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 61.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.28 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 77.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (17.94 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.17 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 18.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 369 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.2 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 44.14 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 293.34 M | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 1.0 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.06 % | |
| Net Asset | 293.34 M |
Hochdorf Holding Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hochdorf . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hochdorf Holding Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hochdorf Holding AG? Buying financial instruments such as Hochdorf Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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