Hillenbrand Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HI Stock  USD 48.02  0.72  1.52%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hillenbrand is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hillenbrand buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hillenbrand's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hillenbrand's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
58.08
Target Price
68.67
Hype Value
48.03
Market Value
48.02
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hillenbrand given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hillenbrand. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hillenbrand, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Hillenbrand Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Hillenbrand Stock please use our How to Invest in Hillenbrand guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hillenbrand and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hillenbrand. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Hillenbrand Buy or Sell Advice

The Hillenbrand recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hillenbrand. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hillenbrand or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hillenbrand's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell HillenbrandBuy Hillenbrand
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Hillenbrand has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0655, Jensen Alpha of 0.0483, Total Risk Alpha of (0.06), Sortino Ratio of 0.0413 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1093
Our trade recommendations tool can be used to complement Hillenbrand advice provided by experts. It analyzes the entity's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Hillenbrand is not overpriced, please check out all Hillenbrand fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Hillenbrand has a price to earning of 16.85 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Hillenbrand market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hillenbrand Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hillenbrand Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hillenbrand's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hillenbrand's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hillenbrand daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hillenbrand price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hillenbrand returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hillenbrand.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-2.77
Potential Upside
2.87
Standard Deviation
1.71
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hillenbrand historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hillenbrand Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Hillenbrand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hillenbrand backward and forwards among themselves. Hillenbrand's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Hillenbrand's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc
869 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
838.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
828.8 K
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
792.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
770.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
738.4 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
703.5 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
509.4 K
Raymond James & Associates2023-12-31
468.8 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
11.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
8.4 M
Note, although Hillenbrand's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hillenbrand Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(87.6M)139.1M(213.3M)12.6M11.3M10.8M
Free Cash Flow318.9M488.4M140.8M137.7M158.4M188.7M
Other Non Cash Items162.3M(48.1M)(11.8M)(1.3M)(1.2M)(1.1M)
Capital Expenditures35.9M40M50.3M69.3M62.4M34.6M
Net Income(53.4M)255.2M215.2M114.1M102.7M95.6M
End Period Cash Flow311.8M450.9M237.6M250.2M225.2M135.8M
Change To Inventory58.5M(33.4M)(125.5M)57.2M51.5M54.1M
Depreciation130.6M115.1M108.2M125.6M144.4M72.3M
Dividends Paid63.4M64M62M61.3M70.5M57.3M
Investments(1.3B)126M(143.4M)(722.3M)(650.1M)(617.6M)
Change Receivables(66.2M)91.7M(24.2M)(115.9M)(104.3M)(99.1M)
Net Borrowings922M(344.2M)8.7M751.9M864.7M907.9M
Change To Netincome158.8M(23.4M)35.7M(593.7M)(534.3M)(507.6M)

Hillenbrand Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hillenbrand or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hillenbrand's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hillenbrand stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Hillenbrand Volatility Alert

Hillenbrand has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 1.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hillenbrand's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hillenbrand's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hillenbrand Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hillenbrand's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hillenbrand's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hillenbrand and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hillenbrand or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hillenbrand's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hillenbrand by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hillenbrand to competition
FundamentalsHillenbrandPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0734-0.31
Return On Asset0.0434-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding70.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions90.69 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.46 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.85 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.12 X11.42 X
Revenue2.83 B9.43 B
Gross Profit963.4 M27.38 B
EBITDA374.2 M3.9 B
Net Income114.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents234.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.40 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.1 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.21 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations207 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.42 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.74 X4.89 X
Target Price63.0
Number Of Employees10.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.51-0.15
Market Capitalization3.37 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.55 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.32 B9.33 B
Working Capital316.6 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Stuart Taylor of tradable shares of Hillenbrand subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Hillenbrand Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hillenbrand . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hillenbrand Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hillenbrand? Buying financial instruments such as Hillenbrand Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities338.8M431.3M496.0M520.8M
Total Assets3.9B5.5B6.4B6.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hillenbrand in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumer Goods Thematic Idea Now

Consumer Goods
Consumer Goods Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Consumer Goods theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Goods Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Hillenbrand offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hillenbrand's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hillenbrand Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hillenbrand Stock:
Check out Hillenbrand Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Hillenbrand Stock please use our How to Invest in Hillenbrand guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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Is Hillenbrand's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hillenbrand. If investors know Hillenbrand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hillenbrand listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Dividend Share
0.883
Earnings Share
1.42
Revenue Per Share
42.036
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.179
The market value of Hillenbrand is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hillenbrand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hillenbrand's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hillenbrand's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hillenbrand's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hillenbrand's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hillenbrand's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hillenbrand is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hillenbrand's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.