Hero Supermarket (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HERO Stock  IDR 750.00  15.00  2.04%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hero Supermarket Tbk is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hero Supermarket buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HERO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hero Supermarket's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hero Supermarket's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
727.5
Hype Value
750
Market Value
750
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hero Supermarket Tbk given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hero Supermarket. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hero Supermarket Tbk, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Hero Supermarket Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hero and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hero Supermarket Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Hero Supermarket Buy or Sell Advice

The Hero recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hero Supermarket Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hero Supermarket Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hero Supermarket's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hero SupermarketBuy Hero Supermarket
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hero Supermarket Tbk has a Mean Deviation of 1.59, Standard Deviation of 2.02 and Variance of 4.1
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Hero Supermarket to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hero Supermarket Tbk. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Hero Supermarket Tbk is not overpriced, please check out all Hero Supermarket fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, and the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Hero Supermarket Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hero Supermarket Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 2.06 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hero Supermarket Tbk has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hero Supermarket until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hero Supermarket's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hero Supermarket Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hero Supermarket's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.48 T. Net Loss for the year was (963.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.41 T.
Hero Supermarket Tbk has accumulated about 239.55 B in cash with (661.68 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 57.26.
Roughly 95.0% of Hero Supermarket shares are held by company insiders

Hero Supermarket Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hero Supermarket's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hero Supermarket's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hero Supermarket daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hero Supermarket Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hero Supermarket returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hero Supermarket.
Mean Return
-0.29
Value At Risk
-3.41
Potential Upside
2.74
Standard Deviation
2.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hero Supermarket historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hero Supermarket Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hero Supermarket or Food & Staples Retailing sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hero Supermarket's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hero stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.36
σ
Overall volatility
2.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Hero Supermarket Volatility Alert

Hero Supermarket Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.34 and kurtosis of -0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hero Supermarket's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hero Supermarket's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hero Supermarket Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hero Supermarket's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hero Supermarket's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hero Supermarket and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hero Supermarket or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hero Supermarket's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hero Supermarket by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hero Supermarket to competition
FundamentalsHero SupermarketPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.74-0.31
Return On Asset6.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.85 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.18 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders95.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.12 %39.21 %
Price To Earning117.60 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.50 X11.42 X
Revenue3.48 T9.43 B
Gross Profit1.41 T27.38 B
EBITDA(201.04 B)3.9 B
Net Income(963.53 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents239.55 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share57.26 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.06 T5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share190.22 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(661.68 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(246.03) X3.12 X
Target Price0.06
Number Of Employees4.48 K18.84 K
Beta0.23-0.15
Market Capitalization6.15 T19.03 B
Total Asset6.27 T29.47 B
Z Score1.28.72
Net Asset6.27 T

Hero Supermarket Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hero . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hero Supermarket Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hero Supermarket Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as Hero Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hero Supermarket in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Communication Services Thematic Idea Now

Communication Services
Communication Services Theme
Companies that provide networking, telecom, and long distance services. The Communication Services theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Communication Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Check out Hero Supermarket Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for Hero Stock analysis

When running Hero Supermarket's price analysis, check to measure Hero Supermarket's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hero Supermarket is operating at the current time. Most of Hero Supermarket's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hero Supermarket's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hero Supermarket's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hero Supermarket to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hero Supermarket's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hero Supermarket is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hero Supermarket's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.