Global Payments Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GPN Stock | USD 122.18 0.77 0.63% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Global Payments is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Global Payments buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GPN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Global Payments' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Global Payments' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 136.57 | Target Price 146.78 | Hype Value 122.33 | Market Value 122.18 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Global Payments given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Global Payments. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Global Payments, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Global |
Execute Global Payments Buy or Sell Advice
The Global recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Global Payments. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Global Payments or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Global Payments' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Global Payments Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Global Payments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 17.38 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.61, which is OK given its current industry classification. Global Payments has a current ratio of 0.94, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Global Payments until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Global Payments' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Global Payments sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Global to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Global Payments' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 93.0% of Global Payments shares are owned by institutional investors | |
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Global Payments Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Global Payments' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Global Payments' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Global Payments daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Global Payments price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Global Payments returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Global Payments.
| Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -2.46 | Potential Upside | 1.92 | Standard Deviation | 1.25 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Global Payments historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Global Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Global Payments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Payments backward and forwards among themselves. Global Payments' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Global Payments' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.8 M | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 3.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s | 2023-12-31 | 3 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 2.7 M | Harris Associates L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 2.7 M | Davis Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Pzena Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 24.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 17.7 M |
Global Payments Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 95.1M | 320K | (132.8M) | 17.2M | (289.8M) | (275.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 467.4M | 411.5M | 33.3M | 92.6M | 41.3M | 39.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.1B | 1.9B | 2.3B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.7B | |
| Depreciation | 878.3M | 1.6B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.8B | 1.9B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 218.3M | 201.5M | 278.0M | 1.3B | 397.5M | 417.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 86.7M | 233.2M | 259.7M | 274.0M | (260.4M) | (247.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 307.9M | 436.2M | 493.2M | 615.7M | 658.1M | 691.0M | |
| Net Income | 469.3M | 605.1M | 987.9M | 143.3M | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.7B | 2.1B | 2.1B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.4B | |
| Change To Netincome | 80.9M | 7.3M | 198.8M | 957.6M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Investments | (917.1M) | (438.3M) | (2.3B) | (675.5M) | (4.4B) | (4.1B) | |
| Change Receivables | (115.5M) | 56.0M | (165.5M) | (112.0M) | (100.8M) | (95.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 439.1M | (82.3M) | 2.4B | 1.9B | 2.1B | 2.2B |
Global Payments Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Global Payments or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Global Payments' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Global stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Global Payments Volatility Alert
Global Payments exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of -0.45. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Global Payments' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Global Payments' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Global Payments Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Global Payments' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Global Payments' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Global Payments and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Global Payments or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Global Payments' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Payments by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Global Payments to competition |
| Fundamentals | Global Payments | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0444 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.029 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.25 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 48.01 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 255.08 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.84 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.88 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.71 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 434.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.37 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.27 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.65 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.23 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.74 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.03 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 17.38 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.61 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.96 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 88.33 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.25 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.61 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.77 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.65 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 156.63 | |
| Number Of Employees | 27 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.96 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 31.17 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 50.57 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.46 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (51.97 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Shannon Johnston of 3844 shares of Global Payments at 130.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Global Payments Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Global . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0175 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 123.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 122.75 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.24) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.77) |
About Global Payments Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Global Payments? Buying financial instruments such as Global Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 12.1B | 14.3B | 17.4B | 18.2B | Total Assets | 45.3B | 44.8B | 50.6B | 53.1B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Global Payments in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Global Payments Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Global Stock, please use our How to Invest in Global Payments guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Payments' price analysis, check to measure Global Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Global Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Global Payments' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Payments. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Payments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.494 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 3.77 | Revenue Per Share 36.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.08 |
The market value of Global Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Payments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Payments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Payments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.