Liberty Media Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FWONK Stock  USD 66.95  0.84  1.24%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Liberty Media is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Liberty Media buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FWONK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Liberty Media's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Liberty Media's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
74.71
Target Price
82.13
Hype Value
66.99
Market Value
66.95
Naive Value
64.41
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Liberty Media given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Liberty Media. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Liberty Media, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Liberty Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Liberty Stock please use our How to buy in Liberty Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Liberty and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Liberty Media. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Liberty Media Buy or Sell Advice

The Liberty recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Liberty Media. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Liberty Media or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Liberty Media's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Liberty MediaBuy Liberty Media
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Liberty Media has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.032, Jensen Alpha of (0.03), Total Risk Alpha of (0.29), Sortino Ratio of (0.05) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0796
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Liberty Media that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Liberty Media. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Liberty Media is not overpriced, please verify all Liberty Media fundamentals, including its cash per share, beta, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Liberty Media has a number of shares shorted of 4.02 M, we recommend you to check Liberty Media market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Liberty Media Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Liberty Media has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: BELLAGIO FOUNTAIN CLUB RETURNS FOR FORMULA 1 HEINEKEN SILVER LAS VEGAS GRAND PRIX 2024 NOVEMBER 21-23

Liberty Media Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Liberty Media's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Liberty Media's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Liberty Media daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Liberty Media price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Liberty Media returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Liberty Media.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-2.62
Potential Upside
2.55
Standard Deviation
1.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Liberty Media historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Liberty Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Liberty Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liberty Media backward and forwards among themselves. Liberty Media's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Liberty Media's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
4.1 M
Ashe Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
3.1 M
Sands Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
2.6 M
Eminence Capital Llc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
2.5 M
Bain Capital Public Equity Management Ii, Llc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2023-12-31
2.5 M
Findlay Park Partners Llp2023-12-31
2.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
19 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
14.9 M
Note, although Liberty Media's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Liberty Media Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash427M1.1B390M(341M)(325M)(341.3M)
Free Cash Flow250M(160M)464M243M193M224.5M
Depreciation453M441M397M362M369M301.3M
Other Non Cash Items178M140M78M(107M)653M685.7M
Capital Expenditures44M21M17M291M426M447.3M
Net Income(311M)(594M)(120M)562M185M175.8M
End Period Cash Flow587M1.7B2.1B1.7B1.4B1.1B
Investments55M12M(200M)(18M)177M185.9M
Net Borrowings1.1B4.9B124M(1.2B)(1.1B)(1.1B)
Dividends Paid59M68M64M58.0249M0.0
Change To Netincome312M261M620M(314M)(361.1M)(379.2M)

Liberty Media Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Liberty Media or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Liberty Media's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Liberty stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.78
σ
Overall volatility
1.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Liberty Media Volatility Alert

Liberty Media has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.46 and kurtosis of 6.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Liberty Media's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Liberty Media's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Liberty Media Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Liberty Media's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Liberty Media's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Liberty Media and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Liberty Media or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Liberty Media's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liberty Media by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Liberty Media to competition
FundamentalsLiberty MediaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0276-0.31
Return On Asset0.0174-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation17.21 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding208.25 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.68 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.02 M4.71 M
Price To Book2.48 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.82 X11.42 X
Revenue3.22 B9.43 B
Gross Profit823 M27.38 B
EBITDA666 M3.9 B
Net Income185 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.73 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.35 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.91 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.48 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.94 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share27.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations619 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.17 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.62 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.94 X4.89 X
Target Price86.22
Beta1.14-0.15
Market Capitalization15.51 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings14.59 B9.33 B
Working Capital924 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.03 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.87 B7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Berkshire Hathaway Inc of 499572 shares of Liberty Media at 30.4659 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Liberty Media Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Liberty . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Liberty Media Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Liberty Media? Buying financial instruments such as Liberty Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total3.6B2.9B2.9B3.7B
Total Assets11.7B11.0B10.3B9.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Liberty Media in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Broad Equity ETFs theme has 467 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Broad Equity ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Liberty Media is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Liberty Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Liberty Media Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Liberty Media Stock:
Check out Liberty Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Liberty Stock please use our How to buy in Liberty Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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Is Liberty Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Media. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Earnings Share
0.62
Revenue Per Share
13.737
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.631
Return On Assets
0.0174
The market value of Liberty Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.