Fvcbankcorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FVCB Stock | USD 10.60 0.15 1.44% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding FVCBankcorp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides FVCBankcorp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FVCB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of FVCBankcorp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting FVCBankcorp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 12.09 | Target Price 13 | Hype Value 10.58 | Market Value 10.6 | Naive Value 9.98 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell FVCBankcorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards FVCBankcorp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for FVCBankcorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
FVCBankcorp |
Execute FVCBankcorp Buy or Sell Advice
The FVCBankcorp recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FVCBankcorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FVCBankcorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FVCBankcorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
FVCBankcorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| FVCBankcorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Americas Securities LLC Acquires New Holdings in FVCBankcorp, Inc. - Defense World |
FVCBankcorp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of FVCBankcorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FVCBankcorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FVCBankcorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FVCBankcorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FVCBankcorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FVCBankcorp.
| Mean Return | -0.28 | Value At Risk | -3.72 | Potential Upside | 3.58 | Standard Deviation | 2.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FVCBankcorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
FVCBankcorp Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as FVCBankcorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FVCBankcorp backward and forwards among themselves. FVCBankcorp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase FVCBankcorp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 140.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 129.1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 119.5 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 48.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 45.7 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 45.4 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 44.4 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 36.3 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 32.9 K | Endeavour Capital Advisors Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Fj Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1.2 M |
FVCBankcorp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 5.5M | 5.9M | 3.8M | (17.4M) | 789K | 1.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 20.1M | 20.1M | 19.0M | 22.2M | 16.1M | 13.3M | |
| Depreciation | 1.0M | 960K | 860K | 686K | 595K | 732.8K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.9M | 8.3M | (8.5M) | (446K) | 14.1M | 14.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 311K | 353K | 485K | 166K | 212K | 308.9K | |
| Net Income | 15.8M | 15.5M | 21.9M | 25.0M | 3.8M | 3.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 14.9M | 20.8M | 24.6M | 7.3M | 8.0M | 13.1M | |
| Investments | (165.2M) | (273.9M) | (366.8M) | (247.7M) | 149.2M | 156.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | 10M | 19.5M | (23.8M) | 28.8M | 33.1M | 34.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.7M | 5.0M | (1.2M) | 3.0M | 3.5M | 1.9M |
FVCBankcorp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FVCBankcorp or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FVCBankcorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FVCBankcorp stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
FVCBankcorp Volatility Alert
FVCBankcorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.03 and kurtosis of 4.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FVCBankcorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FVCBankcorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.FVCBankcorp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing FVCBankcorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FVCBankcorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FVCBankcorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FVCBankcorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FVCBankcorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FVCBankcorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare FVCBankcorp to competition |
| Fundamentals | FVCBankcorp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0182 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0017 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (2.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 240.15 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.88 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 14.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 43.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 123.45 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 16.14 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.84 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.46 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | (13.37 M) | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 65.45 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 16.33 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.82 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 68.34 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.89 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 104.62 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.58 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.19 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 16.27 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.47 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.21 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 116 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.22 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 189.5 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.19 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 115.89 M | 9.33 B |
| Net Asset | 2.19 B |
Note: Disposition of 506 shares by Deacon Jennifer L of FVCBankcorp at 12.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
FVCBankcorp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FVCBankcorp . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About FVCBankcorp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell FVCBankcorp? Buying financial instruments such as FVCBankcorp Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 44.5M | 519.6M | 104.6M | 88.9M | Total Assets | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.2B | 1.4B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having FVCBankcorp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out FVCBankcorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade FVCBankcorp Stock refer to our How to Trade FVCBankcorp Stock guide.Note that the FVCBankcorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FVCBankcorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for FVCBankcorp Stock analysis
When running FVCBankcorp's price analysis, check to measure FVCBankcorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FVCBankcorp is operating at the current time. Most of FVCBankcorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FVCBankcorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FVCBankcorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FVCBankcorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FVCBankcorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FVCBankcorp. If investors know FVCBankcorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FVCBankcorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Earnings Share 0.21 | Revenue Per Share 2.307 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.81) | Return On Assets 0.0017 |
The market value of FVCBankcorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FVCBankcorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FVCBankcorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FVCBankcorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FVCBankcorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FVCBankcorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FVCBankcorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FVCBankcorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FVCBankcorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.