Five Star Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FSBC Stock | USD 21.45 0.02 0.09% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Five Star Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Five Star buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FSBC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Five Star's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Five Star's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 24.37 | Target Price 26.33 | Hype Value 21.43 | Market Value 21.45 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Five Star Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Five Star. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Five Star Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Five |
Execute Five Star Buy or Sell Advice
The Five recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Five Star Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Five Star Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Five Star's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Five Star Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Five Star Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Five Star Bancorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Americas Securities LLC Invests 144000 in Five Star Bancorp - Defense World |
Five Star Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Five Star's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Five Star's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Five Star daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Five Star Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Five Star returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Five Star.
| Mean Return | -0.2 | Value At Risk | -4.37 | Potential Upside | 2.28 | Standard Deviation | 2.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Five Star historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Five Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Five Star is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Five Star Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Five Star's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Five Star's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Brighton Jones Llc | 2023-12-31 | 145.2 K | Putnam Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 135.6 K | Siena Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 134.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 116.5 K | Banc Funds Co Llc | 2023-12-31 | 113.6 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 113 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 82.2 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 77.9 K | Cox Capital Co Llc | 2023-12-31 | 77.3 K | Davis Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M |
Five Star Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (25.9M) | 113.1M | 134.8M | (165.3M) | 61.6M | 64.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 28.4M | 50.6M | 27.9M | 45.5M | 45.8M | 27.5M | |
| Depreciation | 433K | 461K | 607K | 649K | 1.6M | 1.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.6M) | 12.0M | (7.7M) | (452K) | 1.4M | 1.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 508K | 833K | 717K | 481K | 2.7M | 2.8M | |
| Net Income | 29.3M | 35.9M | 42.4M | 44.8M | 47.7M | 27.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 177.4M | 290.5M | 425.3M | 260.0M | 321.6M | 206.1M |
Five Star Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Five Star or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Five Star's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Five stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Five Star Volatility Alert
Five Star Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.23 and kurtosis of 1.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Five Star's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Five Star's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Five Star Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Five Star's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Five Star's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Five Star and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Five Star or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Five Star's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Star by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Five Star to competition |
| Fundamentals | Five Star | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.014 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.42 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.56 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 294.67 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 20.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 27.39 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 39.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 93.37 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.80 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.56 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.90 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.51 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 103.53 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (1.61 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 47.73 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 327.88 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 19.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 249.35 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.76 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 16.56 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 48.43 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.26 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.78 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 28.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 180 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.36 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 446.86 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.59 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 77.04 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 3.59 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.8 |
Note: Acquisition by Kashiwagi Warren Paul of 1262 shares of Five Star subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Five Star Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Five . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Five Star Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Five Star Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Five Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 28.4M | 177.8M | 249.4M | 261.8M | Total Assets | 2.6B | 3.2B | 3.6B | 1.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Five Star in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Small Cap ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Small Cap ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Small Cap ETFs theme has 152 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Cap ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Five Star Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Five Star Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Five Star's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Five Stock analysis
When running Five Star's price analysis, check to measure Five Star's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Star is operating at the current time. Most of Five Star's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Star's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Star's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Star to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Five Star's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Star. If investors know Five will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Star listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 2.78 | Revenue Per Share 6.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Five Star Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Star's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Star's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Star's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Star's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.