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Freshpet Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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FRPT -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: February 25, 2020  

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Freshpet is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Freshpet buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Freshpet positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Freshpet available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Freshpet buy-and-hold prospective. Please check Freshpet Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell FreshpetBuy Freshpet
Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Freshpet has a risk adjusted performance of 0.2353, jensen alpha of 0.5189, total risk alpha of 0.3287, sortino ratio of 0.3008 and treynor ratio of (1.69)
Macroaxis provides unbiased buy, hold, or sell recommendation on Freshpet that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Freshpet. Our buy or sell advice engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Freshpet is not overpriced, please confirm all Freshpet fundamentals including its Number of Shares Shorted, Current Ratio, Current Asset, as well as the relationship between EBITDA and Number of Employees . Given that Freshpet has Number of Shares Shorted of 3.02 M, we urge you verify Freshpet market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Freshpet Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported previous year revenue of 231.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.99 M.
Over 102.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.gurufocus.com: Feb 17, 2020 - Honeycomb Asset Management LP Buys Tencent Music Entertainment Group, Uber Technologies Inc, Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc, Sells Microsoft Corp, ServiceNow Inc, Alibaba Group Holding - GuruFocus.com

Freshpet current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price59.50
Target Mean Price59.88
Recommendation Mean2.20
Target High Price70.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions8
Target Low Price45.00

Freshpet Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.51Value At Risk1.72
Potential Upside3.92Standard Deviation1.72
 Return Density 
    
  Distribution 

Freshpet Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.52
β
Beta against DOW=0.29
σ
Overall volatility
=1.74
Ir
Information ratio =0.24

Freshpet Volatility Alert

Freshpet has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.38 and kurtosis of 0.95. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Freshpet to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Freshpet to competition

Freshpet Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsFreshpetPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0004) (0.31) 
Return On Asset(0.0005) (0.14) 
Profit Margin(0.0003) (1.27) 
Operating Margin(1.40) (5.51) 
Current Valuation1.98 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding36.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders4.45 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions101.71 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted3.02 M4.71 M
Price to Earning(149.54) 28.72 
Price to Book15.67 9.51 
Price to Sales8.37 11.42 
Revenue231.75 M9.43 B
Gross Profit89.99 M27.38 B
EBITDA12.12 M3.9 B
Net Income(4.26 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents7.21 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.20 5.01 
Total Debt45.24 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity36.50 48.70 
Current Ratio1.37 2.16 
Book Value Per Share4.26 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations13.53 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.76 4.00 
Earnings Per Share(0.12) 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth273.64 4.89 
Number of Employees38218.84 K
Beta0.92-0.15
Market Capitalization1.94 B19.03 B
Total Asset113.1 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(195.52 M)9.33 B
Working Capital16.25 M1.48 B
Current Asset25.39 M9.34 B
   Acquisition or disposition of Freshpet securities by Kayne Richard A [view details]

Freshpet Market Momentum