Smartfren Telecom (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FREN Stock | IDR 50.00 0.00 0.00% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Smartfren Telecom Tbk is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Smartfren Telecom buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FREN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Smartfren Telecom's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Smartfren Telecom's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 45.17 | Hype Value 50 | Market Value 50 | Naive Value 50.13 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Smartfren Telecom Tbk given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Smartfren Telecom. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Smartfren Telecom Tbk, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Smartfren |
Execute Smartfren Telecom Buy or Sell Advice
The Smartfren recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Smartfren Telecom Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Smartfren Telecom Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Smartfren Telecom's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Smartfren Telecom Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Smartfren Telecom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Smartfren Telecom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.46 T. Net Loss for the year was (435.33 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.63 T. | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Smartfren Telecom Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Smartfren Telecom's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Smartfren Telecom's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Smartfren Telecom daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Smartfren Telecom Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Smartfren Telecom returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Smartfren Telecom.
| Mean Return | 0.01 | Value At Risk | -1.96 | Potential Upside | 2.00 | Standard Deviation | 1.58 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Smartfren Telecom historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Smartfren Telecom Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Smartfren Telecom or Wireless Telecommunication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Smartfren Telecom's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Smartfren stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0058 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Smartfren Telecom Volatility Alert
Smartfren Telecom Tbk currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.05 and Jensen Alpha of -0.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Smartfren Telecom's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Smartfren Telecom's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Smartfren Telecom Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Smartfren Telecom's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Smartfren Telecom's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Smartfren Telecom and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Smartfren Telecom or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Smartfren Telecom's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smartfren Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Smartfren Telecom to competition |
| Fundamentals | Smartfren Telecom | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0097 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 44.37 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.01 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 63.92 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.87 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 10.46 T | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.63 T | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.25 T | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (435.33 B) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 19.7 T | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 45.38 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.87 T | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.15 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 126.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.83 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.76 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 21.74 T | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 43.36 T | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Net Asset | 43.36 T |
Smartfren Telecom Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smartfren . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Smartfren Telecom Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Smartfren Telecom Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as Smartfren Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Smartfren Telecom Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Smartfren Stock analysis
When running Smartfren Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Smartfren Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smartfren Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Smartfren Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smartfren Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smartfren Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smartfren Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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