Forth Public (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
FORTH Stock | THB 16.50 0.40 2.48% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Forth Public is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Forth Public buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FORTH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Forth Public's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Forth Public's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 14.14 | Hype Value 16.5 | Market Value 16.5 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Forth Public given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Forth Public. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Forth Public, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Forth |
Execute Forth Public Buy or Sell Advice
The Forth recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Forth Public. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Forth Public or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Forth Public's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Forth Public Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Forth Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Forth Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Forth Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
The company has accumulated 198.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 117.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Forth Public has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Forth Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Forth Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Forth Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Forth to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Forth Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 63.0% of Forth Public shares are held by company insiders |
Forth Public Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Forth Public's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Forth Public's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Forth Public daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Forth Public price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Forth Public returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Forth Public.
Mean Return | -0.32 | Value At Risk | -5.61 | Potential Upside | 3.66 | Standard Deviation | 3.15 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Forth Public historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Forth Public Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Forth Public or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Forth Public's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Forth stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Forth Public Volatility Alert
Forth Public exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.2 and kurtosis of 6.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Forth Public's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Forth Public's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Forth Public Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Forth Public's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Forth Public's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Forth Public and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Forth Public or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Forth Public's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forth Public by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Forth Public to competition |
Fundamentals | Forth Public | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.39 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0903 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 35.32 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 935.37 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 63.18 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.74 % | 39.21 % |
Price To Earning | 11.04 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 16.48 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 3.03 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 8.51 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 2.18 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 1.68 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 722.76 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 661.68 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 0.69 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 198.79 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 117.50 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 0.90 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 2.06 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 734.75 M | 971.22 M |
Earnings Per Share | 0.86 X | 3.12 X |
Target Price | 52.0 | |
Number Of Employees | 22 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.17 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 40.22 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 8.82 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 843 M | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 234 M | 1.48 B |
Current Asset | 3.61 B | 9.34 B |
Current Liabilities | 3.37 B | 7.9 B |
Annual Yield | 0.01 % |
Forth Public Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Forth . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Forth Public Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Forth Public? Buying financial instruments such as Forth Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Forth Public Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Forth Public information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Forth Public's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
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When running Forth Public's price analysis, check to measure Forth Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forth Public is operating at the current time. Most of Forth Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forth Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forth Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forth Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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