Five Below Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
FIVE Stock | USD 148.54 0.75 0.51% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Five Below is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Five Below buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FIVE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Five Below's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Five Below's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 162.89 | Target Price 214.38 | Hype Value 149.42 | Market Value 148.54 | Naive Value 152.53 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Five Below given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Five Below. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Five Below, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Five |
Execute Five Below Buy or Sell Advice
The Five recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Five Below. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Five Below or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Five Below's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Five Below Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Five Below generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Five Below is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Five Below has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Five Below is downgraded at J.P. Morgan on consumer discretionary spending worries |
Five Below Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Five Below's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Five Below's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Five Below daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Five Below price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Five Below returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Five Below.
Mean Return | -0.32 | Value At Risk | -3.39 | Potential Upside | 2.44 | Standard Deviation | 2.56 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Five Below historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Five Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Five Below is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Five Below backward and forwards among themselves. Five Below's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Five Below's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 999.8 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 909.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 789.8 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 760.5 K | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2023-12-31 | 716.6 K | Rivulet Capital, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 697.2 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 673.7 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5 M |
Five Below Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | (80.4M) | 42.8M | (173.8M) | (72.6M) | (56.9M) | (59.8M) | |
Change In Cash | (49.3M) | 66.3M | (203.8M) | 267.4M | (152.6M) | (144.9M) | |
Free Cash Flow | (25.3M) | 165.8M | 39.7M | 63.0M | 164.6M | 172.8M | |
Depreciation | 55.0M | 69.3M | 84.8M | 105.6M | 130.7M | 137.3M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 117K | 2.6M | 708K | 409K | 351K | 651.6K | |
Capital Expenditures | 212.3M | 200.2M | 288.2M | 252.0M | 335.1M | 351.8M | |
Net Income | 175.1M | 123.4M | 278.8M | 261.5M | 301.1M | 316.2M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 202.5M | 268.8M | 65.0M | 332.3M | 179.7M | 130.3M | |
Change To Netincome | 27.3M | 32.3M | 33.7M | 47.0M | 54.0M | 56.7M | |
Investments | 18.7M | (86.7M) | (465.6M) | 248.0M | (556.3M) | (528.5M) |
Five Below Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Five Below or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Five Below's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Five stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Five Below Volatility Alert
Five Below exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.21 and kurtosis of 17.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Five Below's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Five Below's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Five Below Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Five Below's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Five Below's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Five Below and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Five Below or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Five Below's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Below by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Five Below to competition |
Fundamentals | Five Below | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.067 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 9.49 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 55.24 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.81 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.19 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.03 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 36.49 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 5.49 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 2.44 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 3.56 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 1.1 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 516.32 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 301.11 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 272.42 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 4.91 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 1.74 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 1.23 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.53 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 28.71 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 499.62 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 4.18 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 5.41 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.04 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 212.21 | |
Number Of Employees | 7 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.17 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 8.16 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 3.87 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 1.4 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 487.62 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 600 shares by Kenneth Bull of Five Below subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Five Below Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Five . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Five Below Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Five Below? Buying financial instruments such as Five Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.7B | 1.8B | Total Assets | 2.9B | 3.3B | 3.9B | 4.1B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Five Below in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Almost Nothing Thematic Idea Now
Almost Nothing
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Almost Nothing theme has 22 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Almost Nothing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Five Below Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Five Stock refer to our How to Trade Five Stock guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Five Stock analysis
When running Five Below's price analysis, check to measure Five Below's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Below is operating at the current time. Most of Five Below's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Below's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Below's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Below to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Five Below's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Below. If investors know Five will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Below listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.188 | Earnings Share 5.41 | Revenue Per Share 64.148 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.191 | Return On Assets 0.067 |
The market value of Five Below is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Below's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Below's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Below's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Below's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Below's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Below is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Below's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.