Futurefuel Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FF Stock  USD 8.05  0.01  0.12%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding FutureFuel Corp is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides FutureFuel Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of FutureFuel Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting FutureFuel Corp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
9.84
Target Price
14
Hype Value
8.15
Market Value
8.05
Naive Value
8.6
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell FutureFuel Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards FutureFuel Corp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for FutureFuel Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out FutureFuel Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in FutureFuel Stock please use our How to Invest in FutureFuel Corp guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FutureFuel and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards FutureFuel Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute FutureFuel Corp Buy or Sell Advice

The FutureFuel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FutureFuel Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FutureFuel Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FutureFuel Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FutureFuel CorpBuy FutureFuel Corp
Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon FutureFuel Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.082, Jensen Alpha of 0.3341, Total Risk Alpha of (0.32), Sortino Ratio of 0.1654 and Treynor Ratio of 0.536
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on FutureFuel Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure FutureFuel Corp is not overpriced, please confirm all FutureFuel Corp fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the gross profit and debt to equity . Given that FutureFuel Corp has a price to earning of 7.95 X, we urge you to verify FutureFuel Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

FutureFuel Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

FutureFuel Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FutureFuel Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 18th of March 2024 FutureFuel Corp paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: FutureFuel Stock Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average of 6.34 - Defense World

FutureFuel Corp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FutureFuel Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FutureFuel Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FutureFuel Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FutureFuel Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FutureFuel Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FutureFuel Corp.
Mean Return
0.45
Value At Risk
-2.84
Potential Upside
3.99
Standard Deviation
3.36
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FutureFuel Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FutureFuel Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as FutureFuel Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FutureFuel Corp backward and forwards among themselves. FutureFuel Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase FutureFuel Corp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
471.3 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
451.8 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
409.3 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
404.4 K
Commonwealth Equity Services Inc2023-12-31
330.3 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-12-31
299.4 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
282.6 K
Rk Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
282.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
274.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.5 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
2.2 M
Note, although FutureFuel Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

FutureFuel Corp Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory1.7M3.7M7.0M162K(6.2M)(5.9M)
Change In Cash28.4M(45.2M)(60.6M)38.1M43.8M46.0M
Free Cash Flow27.7M91.9M42.6M47.8M17.9M17.1M
Depreciation11.0M12.1M11.2M10.5M10.3M10.0M
Other Non Cash Items(4.5M)4.2M127K8.5M(2.3M)(2.2M)
Capital Expenditures7.0M4.5M1.5M4.8M6.0M7.8M
Net Income88.2M46.6M26.3M15.2M37.4M40.5M
End Period Cash Flow243.3M198.1M137.5M175.6M219.4M141.6M
Investments11.2M474K16.4M888K34.4M36.1M
Change Receivables(96.8M)92.0M(6.6M)3.2M3.6M3.8M
Change To Netincome(5.1M)3.5M(9.1M)(1.7M)(1.5M)(1.5M)

FutureFuel Corp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FutureFuel Corp or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FutureFuel Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FutureFuel stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.81
σ
Overall volatility
3.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

FutureFuel Corp Volatility Alert

FutureFuel Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.71 and kurtosis of 21.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FutureFuel Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FutureFuel Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

FutureFuel Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FutureFuel Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FutureFuel Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FutureFuel Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FutureFuel Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FutureFuel Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FutureFuel Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FutureFuel Corp to competition
FundamentalsFutureFuel CorpPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0458-0.14
Profit Margin0.10 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation133.68 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding43.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders40.83 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions45.79 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted477.24 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.14 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.96 X11.42 X
Revenue368.25 M9.43 B
Gross Profit28.99 M27.38 B
EBITDA32.38 M3.9 B
Net Income37.38 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents175.64 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt389 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.16 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations23.97 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.85 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.85 X3.12 X
Target Price14.0
Number Of Employees51518.84 K
Beta0.59-0.15
Market Capitalization352.73 M19.03 B
Total Asset387.4 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings27.39 M9.33 B
Working Capital249.2 M1.48 B
Current Asset359.82 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Terrance Egger of 2895 shares of FutureFuel Corp at 10.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

FutureFuel Corp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FutureFuel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About FutureFuel Corp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FutureFuel Corp? Buying financial instruments such as FutureFuel Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities6.3M16.2M14.9M12.7M
Total Assets344.3M356.0M387.4M421.3M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having FutureFuel Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Copper
Copper Theme
Companies involved in production of copper. The Copper theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Copper Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether FutureFuel Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze FutureFuel Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FutureFuel Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FutureFuel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FutureFuel Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in FutureFuel Stock please use our How to Invest in FutureFuel Corp guide.
Note that the FutureFuel Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FutureFuel Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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Is FutureFuel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FutureFuel Corp. If investors know FutureFuel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FutureFuel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.559
Dividend Share
0.24
Earnings Share
0.85
Revenue Per Share
8.415
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
The market value of FutureFuel Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FutureFuel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FutureFuel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FutureFuel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FutureFuel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FutureFuel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FutureFuel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FutureFuel Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FutureFuel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.