Firstenergy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FE Stock  USD 38.30  0.18  0.47%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding FirstEnergy is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides FirstEnergy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of FirstEnergy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting FirstEnergy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
38.94
Target Price
40.14
Hype Value
38.25
Market Value
38.3
Naive Value
38.84
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell FirstEnergy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards FirstEnergy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for FirstEnergy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out FirstEnergy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade FirstEnergy Stock refer to our How to Trade FirstEnergy Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FirstEnergy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards FirstEnergy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute FirstEnergy Buy or Sell Advice

The FirstEnergy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FirstEnergy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FirstEnergy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FirstEnergy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FirstEnergyBuy FirstEnergy
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon FirstEnergy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.049, Jensen Alpha of 0.0661, Total Risk Alpha of (0.09), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 1.06
FirstEnergy advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure FirstEnergy is not overpriced, please confirm all FirstEnergy fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the gross profit and debt to equity . Given that FirstEnergy has a price to earning of 17.96 X, we urge you to verify FirstEnergy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

FirstEnergy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reports 24.91 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.89, which is normal for its line of buisiness. FirstEnergy has a current ratio of 0.65, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist FirstEnergy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FirstEnergy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FirstEnergy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FirstEnergy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FirstEnergy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 90.0% of FirstEnergy shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 FirstEnergy paid $ 0.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: FirstEnergy Set to Plant More Than 25,000 Trees in 2024

FirstEnergy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FirstEnergy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FirstEnergy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FirstEnergy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FirstEnergy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FirstEnergy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FirstEnergy.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-1.66
Potential Upside
1.77
Standard Deviation
1.15
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FirstEnergy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FirstEnergy Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as FirstEnergy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FirstEnergy backward and forwards among themselves. FirstEnergy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase FirstEnergy's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2023-12-31
9.3 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2023-12-31
8.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
7.6 M
Icahn Carl C2023-12-31
5.9 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
5.6 M
Mitsubishi Ufj Trust & Banking Corp2023-12-31
4.8 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
4.7 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
3.9 M
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
68.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
64.9 M
Note, although FirstEnergy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

FirstEnergy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(37M)(32M)57M(161M)(91M)(86.5M)
Change In Cash250M1.1B(290M)(1.3B)(27M)(25.7M)
Free Cash Flow(198M)(1.2B)366M(73M)(2.0B)(1.9B)
Other Non Cash Items(555M)(1.0B)247M(266M)(1.0B)(965.2M)
Dividends Paid820M845M849M891M906M692.4M
Capital Expenditures2.7B2.7B2.4B2.8B3.4B2.2B
Net Income912M1.1B1.3B439M1.2B1.2B
End Period Cash Flow679M1.8B1.5B206M179M170.1M
Change To Netincome(390M)(69M)388M716M823.4M889.2M
Depreciation1.2B1.2B1.6B1.3B1.3B1.5B
Investments(38M)(22M)(11M)(3.1B)(3.5B)(3.4B)
Change Receivables271M(129M)160M(292M)(262.8M)(249.7M)
Net Borrowings1.5B3.5B(632M)(2.2B)(2.0B)(1.9B)

FirstEnergy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FirstEnergy or Electric Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FirstEnergy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FirstEnergy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

FirstEnergy Volatility Alert

FirstEnergy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.45 and kurtosis of 1.74. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FirstEnergy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FirstEnergy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

FirstEnergy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FirstEnergy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FirstEnergy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FirstEnergy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FirstEnergy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FirstEnergy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FirstEnergy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FirstEnergy to competition
FundamentalsFirstEnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0276-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation47.43 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding575.52 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions90.46 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted11.63 M4.71 M
Price To Earning17.96 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.70 X11.42 X
Revenue12.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit8.23 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.99 B3.9 B
Net Income1.18 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents160 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt24.91 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.89 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.17 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.39 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.96 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.25 X4.89 X
Target Price40.85
Number Of Employees12.04 K18.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization21.94 B19.03 B
Total Asset48.77 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(97 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(2.82 B)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Melvin Williams of 1204 shares of FirstEnergy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

FirstEnergy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FirstEnergy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About FirstEnergy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FirstEnergy? Buying financial instruments such as FirstEnergy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total23.9B21.7B24.9B17.9B
Total Assets45.4B46.1B48.8B41.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having FirstEnergy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Healthcare Thematic Idea Now

Healthcare
Healthcare Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Healthcare theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Healthcare Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether FirstEnergy is a strong investment it is important to analyze FirstEnergy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FirstEnergy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FirstEnergy Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FirstEnergy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade FirstEnergy Stock refer to our How to Trade FirstEnergy Stock guide.
Note that the FirstEnergy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FirstEnergy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for FirstEnergy Stock analysis

When running FirstEnergy's price analysis, check to measure FirstEnergy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstEnergy is operating at the current time. Most of FirstEnergy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstEnergy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstEnergy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstEnergy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FirstEnergy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FirstEnergy. If investors know FirstEnergy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FirstEnergy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.196
Dividend Share
1.58
Earnings Share
1.96
Revenue Per Share
22.138
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of FirstEnergy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FirstEnergy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FirstEnergy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FirstEnergy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FirstEnergy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FirstEnergy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FirstEnergy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FirstEnergy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FirstEnergy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.