Fresh Del Monte Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FDP Stock  USD 25.36  0.52  2.09%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Fresh Del Monte is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Fresh Del buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FDP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Fresh Del's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Fresh Del's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
29.41
Target Price
34
Hype Value
25.16
Market Value
25.36
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Fresh Del Monte given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Fresh Del. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Fresh Del Monte, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Fresh Del Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Fresh and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Fresh Del Monte. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Fresh Del Buy or Sell Advice

The Fresh recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Fresh Del Monte. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Fresh Del Monte or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Fresh Del's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Fresh DelBuy Fresh Del
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Fresh Del Monte has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.08), Total Risk Alpha of (0.12) and Treynor Ratio of (0.03)
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Fresh Del. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Fresh Del is not overpriced, please confirm all Fresh Del Monte fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Fresh Del Monte has a price to earning of 26.00 X, we urge you to verify Fresh Del Monte market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Fresh Del Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.32 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 340.2 M.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Unpacking Q4 Earnings Flowers Foods In The Context Of Other Perishable Food Stocks

Fresh Del Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Fresh Del's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Fresh Del's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Fresh Del daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Fresh Del Monte price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Fresh Del returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Fresh Del.
Mean Return
-0.03
Value At Risk
-2.14
Potential Upside
1.86
Standard Deviation
1.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Fresh Del historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Fresh Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Fresh Del is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fresh Del Monte backward and forwards among themselves. Fresh Del's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Fresh Del's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Allianz Asset Management Ag2023-12-31
477.8 K
Victory Capital Management Inc.2023-12-31
476.9 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
438.2 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
434.2 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
429.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
429.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
373.1 K
Invenomic Capital Management, Lp2023-12-31
345 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
310.2 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
5.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
4.5 M
Note, although Fresh Del's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Fresh Del Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory8.1M38.7M(105.1M)(72.1M)64.7M67.9M
Change In Cash12M(16.8M)(400K)1.1M16.6M17.4M
Free Cash Flow46.8M30.6M30M13.7M120.2M80.5M
Depreciation97.9M95M96.8M92.5M84.8M81.6M
Other Non Cash Items(3M)(4.9M)(9M)(600K)100.2M105.2M
Capital Expenditures122.3M150M98.5M48.1M57.7M107.9M
Net Income69.3M46.3M79.9M97.7M(1.6M)(1.5M)
End Period Cash Flow33.3M16.5M16.1M17.2M33.8M25.1M
Dividends Paid6.7M14.3M23.7M28.7M(35.9M)(34.1M)
Change Receivables22.1M16.1M(13.9M)(37.4M)(33.7M)(32.0M)
Net Borrowings(77.7M)(45M)(22.6M)20.7M23.8M17.3M
Change To Netincome8.8M(9.6M)(23.1M)12.9M11.6M11.0M
Investments700K500K(2.4M)(9.9M)58.4M61.3M

Fresh Del Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fresh Del or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fresh Del's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fresh stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Fresh Del Volatility Alert

Fresh Del Monte exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.44 and kurtosis of 0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fresh Del's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fresh Del's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Fresh Del Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Fresh Del's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Fresh Del's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Fresh Del and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Fresh Del or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Fresh Del's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fresh Del by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Fresh Del to competition
FundamentalsFresh DelPeer Average
Return On Equity-8.0E-4-0.31
Return On Asset0.0305-0.14
Profit Margin(0) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.77 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding47.63 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders22.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions66.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted215.22 K4.71 M
Price To Earning26.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.63 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.27 X11.42 X
Revenue4.32 B9.43 B
Gross Profit340.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA230.9 M3.9 B
Net Income(1.6 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents17.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt598.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.33 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.73 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share39.81 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations177.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.82 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.24) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.73 X4.89 X
Target Price31.5
Number Of Employees31.89 K18.84 K
Beta0.54-0.15
Market Capitalization1.19 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.18 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.34 B9.33 B
Working Capital603.7 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Marissa Tenazas of 7394 shares of Fresh Del subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Fresh Del Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fresh . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Fresh Del Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Fresh Del Monte? Buying financial instruments such as Fresh Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total702M737.3M598.2M424.1M
Total Assets3.4B3.5B3.2B2.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Fresh Del in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Real Estate Thematic Idea Now

Real Estate
Real Estate Theme
Publicly traded companies that are involved in real estate development, property maintenance and management of real estate investment trusts (REIT) funds. The Real Estate theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Real Estate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Fresh Del Monte is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Fresh Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Fresh Del Monte Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Fresh Del Monte Stock:
Check out Fresh Del Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Fresh Del Monte information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fresh Del's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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Is Fresh Del's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fresh Del. If investors know Fresh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fresh Del listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
Dividend Share
0.75
Earnings Share
(0.24)
Revenue Per Share
90.054
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Fresh Del Monte is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fresh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fresh Del's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fresh Del's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fresh Del's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fresh Del's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fresh Del's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fresh Del is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fresh Del's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.