Farmmi Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FAMI Stock  USD 0.84  0.04  5.00%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Farmmi Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Farmmi buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Farmmi positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Farmmi's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Farmmi's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
0.82
Hype Value
0.83
Market Value
0.84
Naive Value
0.93
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Farmmi Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Farmmi. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Farmmi Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Farmmi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Farmmi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Farmmi Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Farmmi Buy or Sell Advice

The Farmmi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Farmmi Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Farmmi Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Farmmi's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FarmmiBuy Farmmi
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Farmmi Inc has a Mean Deviation of 3.56, Standard Deviation of 4.76 and Variance of 22.7
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Farmmi Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Farmmi is not overpriced, please confirm all Farmmi Inc fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the net income and short ratio . As Farmmi Inc appears to be a penny stock we also advise to verify its number of shares shorted numbers.

Farmmi Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Farmmi Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Farmmi Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Farmmi Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Farmmi Inc currently holds about 54.89 M in cash with (75.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Farmmi Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Farmmi Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Farmmi's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Farmmi's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Farmmi daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Farmmi Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Farmmi returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Farmmi.
Mean Return
-0.35
Value At Risk
-9.09
Potential Upside
7.55
Standard Deviation
4.76
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Farmmi historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Farmmi Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Farmmi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmmi Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Farmmi's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Farmmi's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
16.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
15.9 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Virtu Financial Llc2023-09-30
0.0
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
0.0
Note, although Farmmi's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Farmmi Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory900.7K(42.2M)515.6K(3.3M)(2.9M)(3.1M)
Investments(247.2K)(2.8M)(42.0M)35.9M41.3M43.3M
Change In Cash1.4M520.8K(18.1M)(28.4M)(25.5M)(24.3M)
Net Borrowings6.8M2.8M(3.4M)(365.1K)(419.9K)(398.9K)
Free Cash Flow(1.9M)(946.3K)20.6M(75.8M)(68.2M)(64.8M)
Depreciation82.8K68.4K367.9K289.6K333.0K349.6K
Other Non Cash Items2.2M(4.4M)(598.9K)1.7M1.5M1.6M
Capital Expenditures247.2K4.7K2.9K314.0361.1343.04
Net Income813.5K2.4M2.2M2.5M2.9M2.1M
End Period Cash Flow2.2M522.9K41.2M12.8M14.7M8.0M
Change To Netincome1.1M1.1M775.5K1.4M1.6M1.7M

Farmmi Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Farmmi or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Farmmi's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Farmmi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.76
σ
Overall volatility
4.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Farmmi Volatility Alert

Farmmi Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 0.68. Farmmi Inc is a potential penny stock. Although Farmmi may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Farmmi Inc. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Farmmi instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Farmmi Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Farmmi's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Farmmi's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Farmmi and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Farmmi or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Farmmi's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmmi by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Farmmi to competition
FundamentalsFarmmiPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0161-0.31
Return On Asset0.0075-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.46 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding6.29 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.28 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted94.09 K4.71 M
Price To Earning10.78 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.03 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.05 X11.42 X
Revenue110.36 M9.43 B
Gross Profit5.44 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.92 M3.9 B
Net Income2.54 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents54.89 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.30 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.06 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio49.62 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share26.58 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(75.75 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.05 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.40 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees7018.84 K
Beta1.2-0.15
Market Capitalization5.05 M19.03 B
Total Asset174.8 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings16.91 M9.33 B
Working Capital147.46 M1.48 B
Current Asset17.19 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities4.26 M7.9 B

Farmmi Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Farmmi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Farmmi Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Farmmi Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Farmmi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total4.6M11.1M12.7M13.4M
Total Assets163.8M174.8M201.0M211.1M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Farmmi in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Advertising Theme
Companies specializing in advertising, marketing and advertising services. The Advertising theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Advertising Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Farmmi Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Farmmi's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Farmmi Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Farmmi Inc Stock:
Check out Farmmi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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When running Farmmi's price analysis, check to measure Farmmi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmmi is operating at the current time. Most of Farmmi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmmi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmmi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmmi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farmmi's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmmi. If investors know Farmmi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmmi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.91)
Earnings Share
2.4
Revenue Per Share
30.413
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Return On Assets
0.0075
The market value of Farmmi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmmi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmmi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmmi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmmi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmmi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmmi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmmi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmmi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.