Exlservice Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EXLS Stock  USD 31.80  0.52  1.66%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ExlService Holdings is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides ExlService Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EXLS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ExlService Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting ExlService Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
33.39
Target Price
35.2
Hype Value
31.84
Market Value
31.8
Naive Value
30.39
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ExlService Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ExlService Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ExlService Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out ExlService Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy ExlService Stock please use our How to Invest in ExlService Holdings guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ExlService and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards ExlService Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute ExlService Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The ExlService recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ExlService Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ExlService Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ExlService Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ExlService HoldingsBuy ExlService Holdings
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon ExlService Holdings has a Mean Deviation of 1.37, Semi Deviation of 1.62, Standard Deviation of 1.75, Variance of 3.05, Downside Variance of 2.76 and Semi Variance of 2.63
Our advice module can be used to complement ExlService Holdings investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure ExlService Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all ExlService Holdings fundamentals, including its price to book, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and beta . Given that ExlService Holdings has a price to earning of 63.46 X, we urge you to verify ExlService Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

ExlService Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ExlService Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
ExlService Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: EXL hosts virtual data and AI event

ExlService Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ExlService Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ExlService Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ExlService Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ExlService Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ExlService Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ExlService Holdings.
Mean Return
0.06
Value At Risk
-2.86
Potential Upside
2.78
Standard Deviation
1.75
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ExlService Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ExlService Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ExlService Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ExlService Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. ExlService Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ExlService Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
3.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
3.3 M
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
3.2 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2023-12-31
3.1 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
3.1 M
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2023-12-31
2.7 M
Fenimore Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
2.7 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
2.6 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
2.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
21.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
17 M
Note, although ExlService Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ExlService Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash22.9M98.5M(81.7M)(18.2M)17.4M18.3M
Free Cash Flow128.3M160.7M147.1M121.3M158.4M166.3M
Depreciation79.5M77.7M76.0M77.9M53.9M38.5M
Other Non Cash Items(4.7M)(4.2M)15.7M(8.4M)37.6M39.4M
Capital Expenditures40.1M42.2M37.2M44.8M52.8M28.1M
Net Income67.7M89.5M114.8M143.0M184.6M193.8M
End Period Cash Flow127.0M225.5M143.8M125.6M141.0M135.8M
Change To Netincome6.6M24.1M32.2M21.4M24.6M13.8M
Change To Inventory(25.3M)12.4M(34.1M)10.7M9.6M9.2M
Dividends Paid392.9M987K(1.5M)36.7M33.1M31.4M
Investments(11.0M)23.0M(1.5M)(96.5M)(9.9M)(10.4M)
Change Receivables(7.1M)24.7M(37.7M)(68.1M)(61.3M)(58.2M)
Net Borrowings(52.7M)(10.9M)(29.0M)(10M)(9M)(8.6M)

ExlService Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ExlService Holdings or IT Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ExlService Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ExlService stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

ExlService Holdings Volatility Alert

ExlService Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of 0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ExlService Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ExlService Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ExlService Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ExlService Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ExlService Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ExlService Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ExlService Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ExlService Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ExlService Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ExlService Holdings to competition
FundamentalsExlService HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding165.78 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.71 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.2 M4.71 M
Price To Earning63.46 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.93 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.23 X11.42 X
Revenue1.63 B9.43 B
Gross Profit515.45 M27.38 B
EBITDA298.54 M3.9 B
Net Income184.56 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents265.24 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.02 X5.01 X
Total Debt271.76 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.11 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.38 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations211.2 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.19 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.10 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.33 X4.89 X
Target Price35.94
Number Of Employees54 K18.84 K
Beta0.97-0.15
Market Capitalization5.27 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.08 B9.33 B
Working Capital353.27 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 9259 shares by Ajay Ayyappan of ExlService Holdings at 31.59 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

ExlService Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ExlService . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ExlService Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ExlService Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as ExlService Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity693.2M758.2M889.4M933.9M
Total Assets1.3B1.3B1.4B1.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ExlService Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Convertibles Funds
Convertibles Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in debt that is expected to be converted into a predetermined amount of the company equity at some future date. The Convertibles Funds theme has 12 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Convertibles Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether ExlService Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze ExlService Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ExlService Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ExlService Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out ExlService Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy ExlService Stock please use our How to Invest in ExlService Holdings guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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Is ExlService Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ExlService Holdings. If investors know ExlService will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ExlService Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.261
Earnings Share
1.1
Revenue Per Share
9.803
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.105
Return On Assets
0.1069
The market value of ExlService Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ExlService that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ExlService Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ExlService Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ExlService Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ExlService Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ExlService Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ExlService Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ExlService Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.