Epam Systems Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EPAM Stock | USD 245.00 2.80 1.13% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding EPAM Systems is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides EPAM Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EPAM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of EPAM Systems' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting EPAM Systems' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 210.63 | Target Price 276.03 | Hype Value 247.8 | Market Value 245 | Naive Value 240.36 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell EPAM Systems given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards EPAM Systems. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for EPAM Systems, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
EPAM |
Execute EPAM Systems Buy or Sell Advice
The EPAM recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on EPAM Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in EPAM Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute EPAM Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
EPAM Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| EPAM Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: EPAM door LinkedIn benoemd tot topbedrijf in Europa |
EPAM Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of EPAM Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of EPAM Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of EPAM Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use EPAM Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of EPAM Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for EPAM Systems.
| Mean Return | -0.27 | Value At Risk | -3.28 | Potential Upside | 2.69 | Standard Deviation | 2.08 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of EPAM Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
EPAM Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as EPAM Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EPAM Systems backward and forwards among themselves. EPAM Systems' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase EPAM Systems' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Lone Pine Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 850.3 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 845.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 669.8 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 640.1 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 621.2 K | Dsm Capital Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 601.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 479.4 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 476.3 K | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 457.4 K | Capital Research Global Investors | 2023-12-31 | 7.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.8 M |
EPAM Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (899.5M) | 87.2M | (4.2M) | 211.7M | 190.5M | 200.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 166.0M | 385.8M | 125.8M | 234.3M | 354.5M | 372.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 188.1M | 475.6M | 460.8M | 382.5M | 534.2M | 560.9M | |
| Depreciation | 101.2M | 129.2M | 145.2M | 140.0M | 91.8M | 56.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.4M | 9.0M | 15.6M | 76.7M | (325.3M) | (309.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 99.3M | 68.8M | 111.5M | 81.6M | 28.4M | 43.2M | |
| Net Income | 261.1M | 327.2M | 481.7M | 419.4M | 417.1M | 437.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 937.7M | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.7B | 2.0B | 2.1B | |
| Change To Netincome | 70.7M | 64.3M | 80.4M | 134.5M | 154.6M | 162.4M | |
| Change Receivables | (81.5M) | (46.9M) | (87.2M) | 4.2M | 3.8M | 4.0M | |
| Investments | (145.4M) | (80.5M) | 57.5M | (61.6M) | (77.2M) | (73.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (9K) | (18K) | 55K | (13.8M) | (12.4M) | (11.8M) |
EPAM Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to EPAM Systems or IT Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that EPAM Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a EPAM stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
EPAM Systems Volatility Alert
EPAM Systems exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.59 and kurtosis of 4.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure EPAM Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact EPAM Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.EPAM Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing EPAM Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze EPAM Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between EPAM Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as EPAM Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of EPAM Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EPAM Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare EPAM Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | EPAM Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0874 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.36 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 57.93 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.31 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.67 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 750.24 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 49.85 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.32 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.69 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.56 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 618.96 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 417.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.55 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 26.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 171.94 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.07 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 60.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 562.63 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.45 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 7.06 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.33 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 315.65 | |
| Number Of Employees | 53.15 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.43 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 14.35 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.35 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.5 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.45 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Gary Abrahams of EPAM Systems at 268.4 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
EPAM Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as EPAM . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 21010.61 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 245.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 245.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.97) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.80) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 3.85 |
About EPAM Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell EPAM Systems? Buying financial instruments such as EPAM Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 239.2M | 193.2M | 171.9M | 137.6M | Total Assets | 3.5B | 4.0B | 4.4B | 4.6B |
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Check out EPAM Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in EPAM Stock, please use our How to Invest in EPAM Systems guide.Note that the EPAM Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EPAM Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for EPAM Stock analysis
When running EPAM Systems' price analysis, check to measure EPAM Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EPAM Systems is operating at the current time. Most of EPAM Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EPAM Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EPAM Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EPAM Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is EPAM Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EPAM Systems. If investors know EPAM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EPAM Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Earnings Share 7.06 | Revenue Per Share 81.111 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0874 |
The market value of EPAM Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EPAM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EPAM Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EPAM Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EPAM Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EPAM Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EPAM Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EPAM Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EPAM Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.