Cto Realty Growth Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CTO Stock  USD 17.16  0.04  0.23%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding CTO Realty Growth is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides CTO Realty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CTO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of CTO Realty's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting CTO Realty's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
18.81
Target Price
20.79
Hype Value
17.17
Market Value
17.16
Naive Value
17.2
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell CTO Realty Growth given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards CTO Realty. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for CTO Realty Growth, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out CTO Realty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CTO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards CTO Realty Growth. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute CTO Realty Buy or Sell Advice

The CTO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CTO Realty Growth. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CTO Realty Growth or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CTO Realty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CTO RealtyBuy CTO Realty
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon CTO Realty Growth has a Mean Deviation of 0.8063, Semi Deviation of 1.02, Standard Deviation of 1.07, Variance of 1.13, Downside Variance of 1.27 and Semi Variance of 1.05
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on CTO Realty Growth and to analyze the company potential to grow next year. To make sure CTO Realty is not overpriced, please confirm all CTO Realty Growth fundamentals, including its current ratio, retained earnings, and the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that CTO Realty Growth has a price to earning of 1.04 X, we suggest you to validate CTO Realty Growth market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

CTO Realty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of March 2024 CTO Realty paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: CTO Realty Growth prices 6.375 percent series A cumulative redeemable preferred stock

CTO Realty Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of CTO Realty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CTO Realty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CTO Realty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CTO Realty Growth price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CTO Realty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CTO Realty.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-1.58
Potential Upside
1.56
Standard Deviation
1.07
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CTO Realty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

CTO Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as CTO Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CTO Realty Growth backward and forwards among themselves. CTO Realty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase CTO Realty's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Cohanzick Management Llc2023-12-31
335.7 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2023-12-31
335.2 K
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
323 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
295 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
268.7 K
Franklin Resources Inc2023-12-31
229 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
228.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
214.1 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
199.2 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Note, although CTO Realty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

CTO Realty Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash113.7M(101.1M)(2.5M)(10.2M)(3.4M)(3.2M)
Free Cash Flow(134.3M)(150.9M)27.6M56.1M(56.5M)(53.7M)
Depreciation15.8M19.1M20.6M28.9M44.2M46.4M
Other Non Cash Items(150.5M)6.0M(16.6M)11.5M(1.6M)(1.7M)
Capital Expenditures150.7M167.8M129.5M313.9M102.9M108.1M
Net Income115.0M78.5M29.9M3.2M5.5M5.3M
End Period Cash Flow134.9M33.8M31.3M21.2M17.8M10.2M
Dividends Paid2.2M14.5M25.9M33.7M39.0M41.0M
Change To Inventory(1.1M)(493K)6.4M7K(46K)(43.7K)
Change To Netincome(89.7M)(79.4M)21.2M11.1M10.0M10.5M
Investments46.3M80.4M129.0M46.3M(52.6M)(49.9M)
Net Borrowings37.8M(7.8M)29.4M144.0M165.6M173.9M

CTO Realty Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CTO Realty or Residential REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CTO Realty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CTO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.0086

CTO Realty Volatility Alert

CTO Realty Growth has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.16 and kurtosis of 1.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CTO Realty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CTO Realty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

CTO Realty Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing CTO Realty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CTO Realty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CTO Realty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CTO Realty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CTO Realty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CTO Realty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare CTO Realty to competition
FundamentalsCTO RealtyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0115-0.31
Return On Asset0.013-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation871.02 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.39 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions63.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted855.55 K4.71 M
Price To Earning1.04 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.53 X11.42 X
Revenue109.12 M9.43 B
Gross Profit59.46 M27.38 B
EBITDA64.69 M3.9 B
Net Income5.53 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents19.33 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt506.23 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.83 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations46.42 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.70 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.03 X3.12 X
Target Price19.5
Number Of Employees3318.84 K
Beta0.61-0.15
Market Capitalization392.31 M19.03 B
Total Asset989.67 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings281.94 M9.33 B
Working Capital66.8 M1.48 B
Current Asset18.98 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Christopher Haga of 1241 shares of CTO Realty at 16.8625 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

CTO Realty Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CTO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About CTO Realty Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell CTO Realty Growth? Buying financial instruments such as CTO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total278.3M496.3M506.2M531.5M
Total Assets733.1M986.5M989.7M1.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having CTO Realty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Government Funds Thematic Idea Now

Government Funds
Government Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by national government to finance government spending or to facilitate Federal Reserve monetary policies. The Government Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Government Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether CTO Realty Growth offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CTO Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cto Realty Growth Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cto Realty Growth Stock:
Check out CTO Realty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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Is CTO Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CTO Realty. If investors know CTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CTO Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.66)
Dividend Share
1.52
Earnings Share
0.03
Revenue Per Share
4.843
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.326
The market value of CTO Realty Growth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CTO Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CTO Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CTO Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CTO Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CTO Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CTO Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CTO Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.