Cresud SA (Argentina) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CRES Stock  ARS 928.45  17.40  1.84%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cresud SA is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Cresud SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CRES positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Cresud SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Cresud SA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
817.38
Hype Value
928.45
Market Value
928.45
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cresud SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cresud SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cresud SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cresud SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cresud and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cresud SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Cresud SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Cresud recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cresud SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cresud SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cresud SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cresud SABuy Cresud SA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Cresud SA has a Mean Deviation of 2.85, Semi Deviation of 3.18, Standard Deviation of 3.42, Variance of 11.72, Downside Variance of 10.49 and Semi Variance of 10.09
Macroaxis provides advice on Cresud SA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Cresud SA. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Cresud SA is not overpriced, please confirm all Cresud SA fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Cresud SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cresud SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cresud SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cresud SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cresud SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cresud SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cresud SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cresud SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cresud SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cresud SA.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-5.3
Potential Upside
5.54
Standard Deviation
3.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cresud SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cresud SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cresud SA or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cresud SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cresud stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.74
σ
Overall volatility
3.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Cresud SA Volatility Alert

Cresud SA shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cresud SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cresud SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cresud SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cresud SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cresud SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cresud SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cresud SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cresud SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cresud SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cresud SA to competition
FundamentalsCresud SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0364-0.31
Return On Asset-4.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation226.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding581.12 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders36.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions9.20 %39.21 %
Price To Earning3.25 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.22 X11.42 X
Revenue95.85 B9.43 B
Gross Profit25.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA83.83 B3.9 B
Net Income37.09 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents103.32 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share209.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt46.16 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity321.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share212.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations21.81 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share52.98 X3.12 X
Target Price398.0
Number Of Employees1918.84 K
Beta1.53-0.15
Market Capitalization154.14 B19.03 B
Total Asset529.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(816 M)9.33 B
Working Capital6.81 B1.48 B
Current Asset54.03 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities47.21 B7.9 B
Z Score1.88.72

Cresud SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cresud . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cresud SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cresud SA? Buying financial instruments such as Cresud Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Cresud SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Sector ETFs theme has 420 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sector ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Cresud SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running Cresud SA's price analysis, check to measure Cresud SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cresud SA is operating at the current time. Most of Cresud SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cresud SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cresud SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cresud SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Cresud SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cresud SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cresud SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.