Celulosa Argentina (Argentina) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CELU Stock  ARS 704.50  2.00  0.28%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Celulosa Argentina SA is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Celulosa Argentina buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CELU positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Celulosa Argentina's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Celulosa Argentina's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
585.9
Hype Value
702.5
Market Value
704.5
Naive Value
704.08
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Celulosa Argentina SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Celulosa Argentina. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Celulosa Argentina SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Celulosa Argentina Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Celulosa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Celulosa Argentina SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Celulosa Argentina Buy or Sell Advice

The Celulosa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Celulosa Argentina SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Celulosa Argentina SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Celulosa Argentina's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Celulosa ArgentinaBuy Celulosa Argentina
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Celulosa Argentina SA has a Mean Deviation of 2.44, Standard Deviation of 3.31 and Variance of 10.93
Macroaxis provides advice on Celulosa Argentina to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Celulosa Argentina SA. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Celulosa Argentina is not overpriced, please confirm all Celulosa Argentina fundamentals, including its price to earning, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to book .

Celulosa Argentina Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Celulosa Argentina generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Celulosa Argentina has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Celulosa Argentina has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 7.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 185.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Celulosa Argentina has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Celulosa Argentina until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Celulosa Argentina's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Celulosa Argentina sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Celulosa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Celulosa Argentina's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 35.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (705.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.58 B.

Celulosa Argentina Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Celulosa Argentina's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Celulosa Argentina's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Celulosa Argentina daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Celulosa Argentina SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Celulosa Argentina returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Celulosa Argentina.
Mean Return
-0.0053
Value At Risk
-5.18
Potential Upside
6.02
Standard Deviation
3.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Celulosa Argentina historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Celulosa Argentina Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Celulosa Argentina or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Celulosa Argentina's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Celulosa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.17
σ
Overall volatility
3.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Celulosa Argentina Volatility Alert

Celulosa Argentina SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.89 and kurtosis of 1.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Celulosa Argentina's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Celulosa Argentina's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Celulosa Argentina Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Celulosa Argentina's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Celulosa Argentina's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Celulosa Argentina and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Celulosa Argentina or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Celulosa Argentina's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Celulosa Argentina by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Celulosa Argentina to competition
FundamentalsCelulosa ArgentinaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0135-0.31
Return On Asset0.0386-0.14
Profit Margin0 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation839.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding10.09 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.13 %39.21 %
Price To Earning(116.80) X28.72 X
Price To Book118.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales21.95 X11.42 X
Revenue35.79 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.58 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.03 B3.9 B
Net Income(705.07 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents121.41 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.83 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity185.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.48 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.81 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.85 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share7.20 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1.48 K18.84 K
Beta1.13-0.15
Market Capitalization1.94 T19.03 B
Total Asset40.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(118 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(521 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.98 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.5 B7.9 B
Net Asset40.1 B

Celulosa Argentina Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Celulosa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Celulosa Argentina Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Celulosa Argentina SA? Buying financial instruments such as Celulosa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Celulosa Argentina in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Basic Utilities Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Basic Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Celulosa Argentina Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Celulosa Argentina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Celulosa Argentina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Celulosa Argentina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.