American Express (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AXPB34 Stock  BRL 113.60  1.54  1.37%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Express is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides American Express buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AXPB34 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Express' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American Express' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
126.85
Hype Value
113.6
Market Value
113.6
Naive Value
114.56
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Express given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American Express. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Express, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out American Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute American Express Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Express. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Express or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Express' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American ExpressBuy American Express
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Express has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1641, Jensen Alpha of 0.3094, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0721, Sortino Ratio of 0.3115 and Treynor Ratio of 0.7362
Macroaxis provides advice on American Express to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Express. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Express is not overpriced, please confirm all American Express fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to earning, and the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

American Express Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Express' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Express' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Express daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Express price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Express returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Express.
Mean Return
0.38
Value At Risk
-1.09
Potential Upside
2.35
Standard Deviation
1.34
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Express historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Express Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Express or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.31
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.51
σ
Overall volatility
1.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

American Express Volatility Alert

American Express exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.01 and kurtosis of 7.45. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American Express Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Express' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Express' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Express and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Express or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Express' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Express by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Express to competition
FundamentalsAmerican ExpressPeer Average
Return On Equity0.32-0.31
Return On Asset0.0361-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation801.87 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding7.43 B571.82 M
Price To Earning32.93 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales12.07 X11.42 X
Revenue50.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit28.78 B27.38 B
Net Income7.51 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents29.11 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.66 X5.01 X
Total Debt43 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.54 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.58 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations14.64 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share5.21 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.15 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees77.3 K18.84 K
Beta1.19-0.15
Market Capitalization710.99 B19.03 B
Total Asset228 B29.47 B
Z Score9.68.72
Annual Yield0.01 %
Five Year Return1.39 %
Net Asset228 B
Last Dividend Paid2.08

American Express Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Express Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Express? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having American Express in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Precious Metals ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Precious Metals ETFs
Precious Metals ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Precious Metals ETFs theme has 29 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether American Express is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if American Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about American Express Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about American Express Stock:
Check out American Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.
Note that the American Express information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Express' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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When running American Express' price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.