Associated British Foods Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ASBFY Stock  USD 30.66  0.88  2.96%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Associated British Foods is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Associated British buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ASBFY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Associated British's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Associated British's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
28.76
Hype Value
30.66
Market Value
30.66
Naive Value
29.65
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Associated British Foods given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Associated British. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Associated British Foods, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Associated British Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Associated and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Associated British Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Associated British Buy or Sell Advice

The Associated recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Associated British Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Associated British Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Associated British's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Associated BritishBuy Associated British
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Associated British Foods has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.049, Jensen Alpha of 0.0626, Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of 0.0241 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1766
Our advice module can be used to complement Associated British investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Associated British is not overpriced, please confirm all Associated British Foods fundamentals, including its ebitda, price to earnings to growth, z score, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and total asset . Given that Associated British Foods has a revenue of 17 B, we suggest you to validate Associated British Foods market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Associated British Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Associated British's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Associated British's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Associated British daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Associated British Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Associated British returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Associated British.
Mean Return
0.10
Value At Risk
-2.08
Potential Upside
2.64
Standard Deviation
1.48
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Associated British historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Associated British Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Associated British or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Associated British's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Associated pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.53
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Associated British Volatility Alert

Associated British Foods has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.01 and kurtosis of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Associated British's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Associated British's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Associated British Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Associated British's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Associated British's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Associated British and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Associated British or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Associated British's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Associated British by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Associated British to competition
FundamentalsAssociated BritishPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0668-0.31
Return On Asset0.0435-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation17.99 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding784.98 M571.82 M
Price To Earning27.50 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.87 X11.42 X
Revenue17 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.78 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.11 B3.9 B
Net Income1.08 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.22 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt480 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.99 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share14.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.15 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.09 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.91 X4.89 X
Target Price13.5
Number Of Employees132 K18.84 K
Beta1.24-0.15
Market Capitalization18.43 B19.03 B
Total Asset19.77 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings6.42 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.29 B1.48 B
Current Asset4.44 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities3.15 B7.9 B
Z Score22.88.72
Annual Yield0.02 %

Associated British Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Associated . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Associated British Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Associated British Foods? Buying financial instruments such as Associated Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Check out Associated British Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Associated British Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Associated British's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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When running Associated British's price analysis, check to measure Associated British's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Associated British is operating at the current time. Most of Associated British's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Associated British's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Associated British's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Associated British to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Associated British's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Associated British is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Associated British's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.