Arts Way Manufacturing Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARTW Stock  USD 1.97  0.02  1.01%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Arts Way Manufacturing Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Arts Way buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Arts Way positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arts Way's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Arts Way's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
2.03
Hype Value
1.99
Market Value
1.97
Naive Value
1.97
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Arts Way Manufacturing Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Arts Way. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Arts Way Manufacturing Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Arts Way Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arts and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Arts Way Manufacturing Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Arts Way Buy or Sell Advice

The Arts recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arts Way Manufacturing Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arts Way Manufacturing Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arts Way's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arts WayBuy Arts Way
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Arts Way Manufacturing Co has a Mean Deviation of 2.2, Semi Deviation of 2.82, Standard Deviation of 3.15, Variance of 9.94, Downside Variance of 11.33 and Semi Variance of 7.95
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Arts Way Manufacturing. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Arts Way is not overpriced, please confirm all Arts Way Manufacturing fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the gross profit and beta . Please also double-check Arts Way Manufacturing Co number of shares shorted to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Arts Way Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Arts Way generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arts Way may become a speculative penny stock
Arts Way has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Arts Way Manufacturing Co currently holds about 4.14 K in cash with (55.19 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Modine launches new Serbian manufacturing hub for heat pumps

Arts Way Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arts Way's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arts Way's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arts Way daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arts Way Manufacturing Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arts Way returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arts Way.
Mean Return
0.01
Value At Risk
-4.31
Potential Upside
4.43
Standard Deviation
3.15
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arts Way historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arts Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Arts Way is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arts Way Manufacturing Co backward and forwards among themselves. Arts Way's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Arts Way's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
4.0
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
1.0
National Asset Management Inc2023-09-30
0.0
Citigroup Inc2023-12-31
0.0
Sweet Financial Partners, Llc2023-09-30
0.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
42.2 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
32.2 K
Shufro Rose & Co Llc2023-12-31
21.9 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
19.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
16.8 K
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
12.1 K
Note, although Arts Way's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arts Way Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory459.8K(809.1K)(1.2M)(1.3M)(1.5M)(1.4M)
Change In Cash(461.0)(26.0)2.4K(1.0K)(936.9)(890.05)
Free Cash Flow(1.5M)(1.6M)(795.6K)(897.0K)(807.3K)(766.9K)
Depreciation818.2K613.4K807.2K804.8K925.5K640.2K
Capital Expenditures693.4K620.3K1.7M841.8K968.1K767.9K
Net Income(2.1M)212.6K97.8K762.8K686.5K720.8K
End Period Cash Flow2.7K2.7K5.1K4.0K3.6K3.4K
Other Non Cash Items(625.6K)(652.6K)(355.1K)440.4K396.4K416.2K
Change To Netincome(170.4K)(24.2K)(341.2K)(50.9K)(45.8K)(43.5K)
Net Borrowings(1.2M)(304.4K)1.6M(16.1K)(18.6K)(19.5K)
Investments(501.7K)(599.5K)(1.3M)(453.5K)(408.2K)(387.8K)

Arts Way Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arts Way or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arts Way's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arts stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
3.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Arts Way Volatility Alert

Arts Way Manufacturing Co shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arts Way's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arts Way's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Arts Way Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arts Way's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arts Way's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arts Way and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arts Way or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arts Way's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arts Way by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arts Way to competition
FundamentalsArts WayPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.001-0.31
Return On Asset0.0152-0.14
Profit Margin(0.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.07) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.66 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.07 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders52.75 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.83 K4.71 M
Price To Earning34.05 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.86 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.35 X11.42 X
Revenue30.28 M9.43 B
Gross Profit7.31 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.34 M3.9 B
Net Income762.79 K570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.14 K2.7 B
Total Debt8.15 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.78 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.46 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(55.19 K)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.12 X4.00 X
Target Price7.0
Number Of Employees9318.84 K
Beta0.39-0.15
Market Capitalization10.1 M19.03 B
Total Asset24.4 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings7.02 M9.33 B
Working Capital5.69 M1.48 B
Current Asset19.21 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities7.71 M7.9 B
Five Year Return1.21 %
Note: Acquisition by David White of 1000 shares of Arts Way subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Arts Way Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arts . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Arts Way Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arts Way Manufacturing Co? Buying financial instruments such as Arts Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total7.7M8.2M9.4M6.2M
Total Assets23.9M24.4M28.1M19.6M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Arts Way in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Banking Thematic Idea Now

Banking
Banking Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Banking theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banking Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Arts Way Manufacturing is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arts Way's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arts Way's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arts Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Arts Way Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Arts Way's price analysis, check to measure Arts Way's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arts Way is operating at the current time. Most of Arts Way's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arts Way's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arts Way's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arts Way to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arts Way's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arts Way. If investors know Arts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arts Way listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.584
Revenue Per Share
5.768
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.19)
Return On Assets
0.0152
Return On Equity
(0)
The market value of Arts Way Manufacturing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arts Way's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arts Way's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arts Way's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arts Way's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arts Way's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arts Way is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arts Way's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.