Antero Resources Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AR Stock | USD 29.29 0.43 1.49% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Antero Resources Corp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Antero Resources buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Antero Resources' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Antero Resources' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 32.78 | Target Price 33.13 | Hype Value 29.59 | Market Value 29.29 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Antero Resources Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Antero Resources. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Antero Resources Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Antero |
Execute Antero Resources Buy or Sell Advice
The Antero recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Antero Resources Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Antero Resources Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Antero Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Antero Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reports 4.51 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Antero Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.37, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Antero Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Antero Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Antero Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Antero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Antero Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Antero Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of Antero Resources shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: 1000 Invested In This Stock 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth 3,600 Today |
Antero Resources Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Antero Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Antero Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Antero Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Antero Resources Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Antero Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Antero Resources.
| Mean Return | 0.44 | Value At Risk | -2.34 | Potential Upside | 3.16 | Standard Deviation | 2.32 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Antero Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Antero Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Antero Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Antero Resources Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Antero Resources' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Antero Resources' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Yorktown Energy Partners Viii, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Key Group Holdings (cayman), Ltd. | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 3.7 M | Sourcerock Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.7 M | Eagle Asset Management, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.2 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Palo Duro Investment Partners, Lp | 2023-09-30 | 2.7 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 45.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 27.7 M |
Antero Resources Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (3.2M) | 240.3M | 619.5M | (205.6M) | (949.3M) | 0.0 | |
| Free Cash Flow | 935.4M | 687.5M | 1.5B | 2.9B | (146.5M) | (139.2M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (114.3M) | (2.3M) | 13.5M | (80.3M) | (218.6M) | (207.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 168.0M | 48.1M | 114.8M | 163.3M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Net Income | (293.1M) | (1.3B) | (154.1M) | 2.0B | 242.9M | 198.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 158.0M | 171.0M | 136.6M | 125.1M | (125.1M) | (118.9M) | |
| Investments | 25.0M | (530.1M) | (710.8M) | (943.6M) | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | |
| Change Receivables | 31.6M | (9.5M) | (55.6M) | 43.5M | 50.0M | 52.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | 686.4M | (475.5M) | (857.3M) | (993.7M) | (894.4M) | (849.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.5B | 2.5B | 1.7B | 685.2M | 693.2M | 1.0B | |
| Change To Netincome | 242.3M | 438.4M | 974.0M | 2.3B | 2.7B | 2.8B |
Antero Resources Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Antero Resources or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Antero Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Antero stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Antero Resources Volatility Alert
Antero Resources Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.28 and kurtosis of 8.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Antero Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Antero Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Antero Resources Implied Volatility
Antero Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Antero Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Antero Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Antero Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Antero Resources' options are near their expiration.
Antero Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Antero Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Antero Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Antero Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Antero Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Antero Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Antero Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Antero Resources to competition |
| Fundamentals | Antero Resources | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.048 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0228 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.55 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 303.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.60 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 84.76 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.79 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.64 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.30 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.02 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.52 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.67 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.08 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 242.92 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.54 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.51 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.73 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.38 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.00 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 994.72 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.20 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.78 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.40 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 32.13 | |
| Number Of Employees | 604 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 3.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.76 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 14.83 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.13 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (976.4 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 28009 shares by Sheri Pearce of Antero Resources at 26.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Antero Resources Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Antero . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 69622.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7414 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.41 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.43 |
About Antero Resources Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Antero Resources Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Antero Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 5.5B | 4.6B | 4.5B | 4.7B | Total Assets | 13.9B | 14.1B | 14.8B | 13.2B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Antero Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Beers Thematic Idea Now
Beers
Companies involved in production and distribution of domestic and international beer. The Beers theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Antero Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
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Is Antero Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Antero Resources. If investors know Antero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Antero Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Earnings Share 0.78 | Revenue Per Share 14.961 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) | Return On Assets 0.0228 |
The market value of Antero Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Antero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Antero Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Antero Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Antero Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Antero Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Antero Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Antero Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Antero Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.