Aqua Public (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AQUA Stock | THB 0.34 0.00 0.00% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Aqua Public is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aqua Public buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AQUA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aqua Public's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aqua Public's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 0.29 | Hype Value 0.34 | Market Value 0.34 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aqua Public given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aqua Public. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aqua Public, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Aqua |
Execute Aqua Public Buy or Sell Advice
The Aqua recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aqua Public. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aqua Public or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aqua Public's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Aqua Public Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aqua Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company has accumulated 1.46 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Aqua Public has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aqua Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aqua Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aqua Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aqua to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aqua Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 52.0% of Aqua Public shares are held by company insiders |
Aqua Public Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aqua Public's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aqua Public's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aqua Public daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aqua Public price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aqua Public returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aqua Public.
| Mean Return | -0.03 | Value At Risk | -2.86 | Potential Upside | 2.94 | Standard Deviation | 1.65 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aqua Public historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aqua Public Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aqua Public or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aqua Public's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aqua stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Aqua Public Volatility Alert
Aqua Public exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.59 and kurtosis of 2.36. Aqua Public is a potential penny stock. Although Aqua Public may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Aqua Public. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Aqua instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Aqua Public Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aqua Public's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aqua Public's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aqua Public and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aqua Public or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aqua Public's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aqua Public by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aqua Public to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aqua Public | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 3.0E-4 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.90 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.94 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.71 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 51.98 % | 10.09 % |
| Price To Earning | 18.28 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 806.67 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 272.25 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 710.51 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 157.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 250.58 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.05 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.46 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.77 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.44 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.96 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 455.59 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.13 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 29 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.46 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.83 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 9.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 552 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 786 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.3 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 514 M | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 1.2 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.79 % |
Aqua Public Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aqua . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0294 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.34 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.96 |
About Aqua Public Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aqua Public? Buying financial instruments such as Aqua Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Aqua Public Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Aqua Stock analysis
When running Aqua Public's price analysis, check to measure Aqua Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aqua Public is operating at the current time. Most of Aqua Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aqua Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aqua Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aqua Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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